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@Exalted-Evocation

#32,37349

0x479e330b07822ee28e20bac5e504f1b7c6b591c3

183d· 1135 markets · 2499 tradesVol: $8,337,4042026-07-18T06:10
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

49
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 64%17/20
Profit Factor 1.12x4/15
Sharpe 0.0942/15
Sortino 0.1211/10
EV $+0.1206/10
HHI 2910/10
Profit Days 62%8/10
DD/Peak 67%1/10

Summary

Exalted-Evocation is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, with 2,499 trades executed over 174 days and participation in 536 different markets. Ranking #32,373 globally on the PnL leaderboard, the trader has achieved a net profit of $3,610.69 on a total volume exceeding $8.3 million. With a Smart Score of 49/100 and a semi-automated trading approach indicated by a Bot Score of 60/100, Exalted-Evocation maintains an overall average performance and a stable equity trend.

The trading style of Exalted-Evocation appears to prioritize high-frequency, low-risk engagements, as reflected by an exceptionally high win rate of 98.8% and a profit factor of 75.92. The trader rarely sells early, with only 7% sell activity, indicating a tendency to hold positions through to resolution. There is no exposure to weather markets, suggesting a preference for other event types. Their Sharpe Ratio of 0.09 and zero-day maximum drawdown duration imply low volatility and minimal risk exposure in individual positions.

Exalted-Evocation’s strengths lie in consistent profitability and disciplined position management, supported by badges like Sniper and Diamond Hands. However, the low Sharpe Ratio and flat equity trend may indicate limited upside potential or conservative bet sizing. Additionally, the semi-bot trading style could pose risks if market conditions shift rapidly. Overall, Exalted-Evocation demonstrates reliable, steady returns on Polymarket but may face challenges scaling performance in more volatile environments.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

7
Sniper
Win Rate 64%
Profitable
PnL $+3,611
Diamond Hands
7% sell
Win Streak
197 wins in a row
Whale
$2,998,298
Consistent
75/120 days
High Roller
$17,232/day

Categories

4
SPORTS#3,164$17,261Vol: $8,185,955
💰 FINANCE#648,445$-13,078Vol: $120,321
🎭 CULTURE#6,094$745Vol: $29,127
🏛️ POLITICS#1,606,981$-1,318Vol: $2,000

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$3,611
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$8,337,404
Total Redeem
$2,657,488
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1135
total markets
Trades
2323B / 176S
Daily Volume
$17,232
Account Age
183d
since Jan 19, 2026

Periods

#2
Week
$-3,964
Vol: $82,234
Month
$-4,510
Vol: $135,914
All Time
$3,611
Vol: $8,337,404

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
63%
241W / 139L events
Realized PnL
$732,603
Win Rate
99%
330W / 4L
Profit Factor
75.92x
Avg Win
$2,212
Avg Loss
$-2,404

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $28,392 (3.9% of PnL)

Top Winners

Rockets vs. Lakers$9,614
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds$9,493
Will Liverpool FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?$9,286
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Casper Ruud vs Luciano Darderi$8,986
Roland Garros ATP: Hubert Hurkacz vs Frances Tiafoe$8,911
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Victoria Mboko vs Emma Navarro$8,203
Roland Garros ATP: Cristian Garin vs Learner Tien$8,154
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-04?$7,657
Spread: Thunder (-12.5)$7,500
Cavaliers vs. Raptors$7,156

Top Losers

Roland Garros ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Zachary Svajda$-5,536
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Corentin Moutet vs Casper Ruud$-3,424
Cavaliers vs. Pistons$-556
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Luciano Darderi vs Alexander Zverev$-102

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.094
Sortino
0.121
HHI
29
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.120
Kelly %
98.2%
Half-Kelly
49.1%
Top-1 market
1.3%
Top-5 markets
4.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
22.3
Active
Markets / Day
4.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
14s
between trades
Avg Gap
58.4m
between trades
Night Trading
43%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.93
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.8

Bot Detection

#6
60
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 14s — suspiciously fastSize CV 1.93 — diverse, typical for human43% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.21 — human randomness22 trades/day — suspiciously high393 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.3
Moderate DCA
<=1
358 entries
<=2
401 entries
<=5
439 entries
<=10
471 entries
<=20
508 entries
<=50
531 entries
>50
5 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)9.2%
High (>55c)90.8%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 73%

Other$620,428
Madrid$56,589
Los Angeles$15,502
Atlanta$9,493
Austin$3,841
Paris$3,791
Seattle$3,292
Lucknow$2,911
Chicago$1,329
Milan$1,295
Miami$901
Houston$703
San Francisco$403
Dallas$0
São Paulo$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.1
Events covered
498

Single bracket

<=1
467 brackets
<=2
496 brackets
<=3
498 brackets
<=4
498 brackets
<=5
498 brackets
<=8
498 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
3/27/2026, 7:25:45 AM2 trades$1,3182 min
3/29/2026, 3:48:10 PM55 trades$1,8163 min
3/30/2026, 11:57:25 PM1 trades$1,9700 min
3/31/2026, 2:27:39 PM1 trades$1160 min
3/31/2026, 4:03:57 PM1 trades$4,8980 min
4/4/2026, 2:59:05 PM1 trades$1,8910 min
4/5/2026, 12:17:29 AM1 trades$6420 min
4/5/2026, 1:31:55 AM2 trades$2,0001 min
4/7/2026, 3:12:33 PM1 trades$1,9570 min
4/7/2026, 3:35:03 PM1 trades$1,9560 min
4/8/2026, 1:51:15 AM1 trades$1,9370 min
4/8/2026, 4:09:15 AM1 trades$1,9100 min
4/8/2026, 4:29:05 AM1 trades$4,9660 min
4/8/2026, 5:26:29 AM1 trades$4,9730 min
4/8/2026, 9:08:29 AM1 trades$4,9100 min
4/8/2026, 10:22:59 AM27 trades$8,3404 min
4/8/2026, 11:23:57 AM1 trades$4,8680 min
4/8/2026, 12:29:27 PM1 trades$4,8360 min
4/8/2026, 1:21:25 PM1 trades$3,1800 min
4/8/2026, 2:22:13 PM1 trades$4,8550 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-31
03-18
04-10
05-01
05-22
06-11

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
7% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.3/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.1 br/event