Surpriced-Legacy

@Surpriced-Legacy

#1,3930

0x4834f8ba3454b8c3bae2cac7d235ba1adc0b1bfa

~19d· 10 markets · 1571 tradesVol: $1,114,375 @BTCBeliever212026-08-05 17:27:45
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

0
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

12% (1/8)0/20
0.00x (win $425 / loss $327,363)0/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0000/15
Sortino 0.0000/10
$-1.6956 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 7919 (8 markets)0/10
0/2 profitable days (0%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($326,937 / $0)0/10

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+143,698
Lottery Player
67% entries < $0.20
Whale
$192,819 invested
High Roller
$2,537/day

Categories

2
CRYPTO#215$143,810Vol: $1,014,375
💰 FINANCE#635,212$-112Vol: $100,000

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$143,698
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,114,375
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
10
total markets
Trades
886B / 685S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~19d

Periods

#2
Today
$675
Vol: $0
Week
$3,799
Vol: $7,707
Month
$4,296
Vol: $7,707
All Time
$143,698
Vol: $1,114,375

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
13%
1W / 7L events
Realized PnL
$143,698
Win Rate
13%
1W / 7L
Profit Factor
0x
Avg Win
$425
Avg Loss
$-46,766

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $425 (0.0029596815930978525% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET$425

Top Losers

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$-325,706
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$-632
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET$-626
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$-203
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET$-87
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET$-68
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET$-40

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.000
Sortino
0.000
HHI
36642
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.881
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
191.4%
Top-5 markets
192.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
20.7
Active
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
21s
between trades
Avg Gap
38.3m
between trades
Night Trading
10%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.84
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
22.0

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 21s — normal for humanCV 4.84 — diverse sizes (human-like)9% night trades — normal pattern21/24 hours — extended activity21 trades/day — high frequency0.1 markets/day — normal56% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
302
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)66.7%
Mid (20-55c)21.1%
High (>55c)12.2%

Sessions

#12
6/1/2026, 12:30:14 PM65 trades$126,2159 min
5/31/2026, 5:42:02 PM7 trades$90,9000 min
6/1/2026, 8:12:05 PM3 trades$70,8600 min
6/1/2026, 12:10:22 PM17 trades$24,06411 min
5/29/2026, 11:47:09 PM37 trades$17,6836 min
6/1/2026, 1:12:54 PM13 trades$11,4971 min
5/23/2026, 3:36:07 AM27 trades$10,9837 min
6/1/2026, 12:46:13 PM6 trades$8,7531 min
5/23/2026, 5:10:44 AM7 trades$8,5750 min
7/31/2026, 12:58:08 AM21 trades$8,0655 min
6/1/2026, 12:00:33 PM9 trades$8,0000 min
5/23/2026, 12:41:35 AM8 trades$7,5440 min
5/25/2026, 3:40:51 AM8 trades$7,1000 min
6/1/2026, 1:51:30 PM1 trades$7,0600 min
5/29/2026, 10:14:58 AM6 trades$6,5370 min
6/1/2026, 1:27:57 PM12 trades$6,3520 min
5/23/2026, 12:55:02 AM18 trades$5,8570 min
5/31/2026, 2:09:09 PM12 trades$5,8250 min
6/1/2026, 6:27:16 PM2 trades$5,0000 min
5/25/2026, 11:53:39 PM11 trades$4,8400 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-31
06-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
43.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 302/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L66.7 / M21.1 / H12.2