@0x490e…123a

#86,25360

0x490e59912217dc88940c4f879115d67cd65a123a

~95d· 781 markets · 5517 tradesVol: $70,7202026-08-04 22:03:19
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

60
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

47% (353/757)8.3/20
1.18x (win $6,122 / loss $5,204)4.7/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.85215/15
Sortino 2.78310/10
$+0.0649 per $1 invested3.2/10
HHI 133 (757 markets)10/10
46/90 profitable days (51%)5.3/10
Max DD 51% of peak ($586 / $1,154)3.8/10

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+902
DCA Master
Avg 7.8 entries/market
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
🌤️ WEATHER#1,750$899Vol: $32,728
CRYPTO#169,174$24Vol: $12,189
🏛️ POLITICS#59,619$114Vol: $8,834
SPORTS#1,563,610$-40Vol: $8,132
💰 FINANCE#562,261$-8Vol: $2,077
📈 ECONOMICS#15,320$69Vol: $1,026
🎭 CULTURE#774,656$-80Vol: $717
💻 TECH#237,652$-24Vol: $356

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$902
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$70,720
Total Redeem
$911
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
781
total markets
Trades
2425B / 3092S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~95d

Periods

#2
Today
$52
Vol: $588
Week
$75
Vol: $1,525
Month
$61
Vol: $1,975
All Time
$902
Vol: $70,720

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
47%
353W / 404L events
Realized PnL
$902
Win Rate
47%
353W / 404L
Profit Factor
1.18x
Avg Win
$17
Avg Loss
$-17

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $645 (0.7142144804201848% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on June 12?$256
France vs. Senegal: Senegal O/U 1.5$216
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 7?$173
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?$165
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$134
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on June 30?$129
ITF San Gregorio: Nadia Podoroska vs Lucciana Perez Alarcon$123
Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 30?$122
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?$121
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on July 28?$106

Top Losers

Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-05-02?$-237
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?$-180
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?$-157
Will 1. FC Union Berlin vs. 1. FC Köln end in a draw?$-150
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$-126
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?$-120
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?$-106
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?$-96
Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?$-94
Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?$-94

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.096
Sortino
0.124
HHI
233
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.054
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8.6%
Top-5 markets
27.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
52.5
Very active
Markets / Day
7.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.0h
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.03
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
15.9

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 262s — normal for humanCV 2.03 — diverse sizes (human-like)21% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock53 trades/day — mass trading7.4 markets/day — normal45% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.77
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)17.6%
Mid (20-55c)17.4%
High (>55c)64.9%

Sessions

#12
6/16/2026, 4:18:22 PM75 trades$2,5501 min
6/12/2026, 11:21:04 AM10 trades$1,8950 min
4/26/2026, 9:00:54 PM2 trades$1,0500 min
5/14/2026, 10:35:02 AM62 trades$8381 min
7/7/2026, 6:13:31 PM10 trades$8211 min
6/1/2026, 8:11:29 PM2 trades$7200 min
6/11/2026, 12:16:51 PM58 trades$6730 min
5/16/2026, 10:52:07 PM23 trades$5716 min
5/15/2026, 7:19:21 PM3 trades$4090 min
7/13/2026, 2:17:07 PM11 trades$4050 min
6/19/2026, 1:56:59 PM4 trades$3932 min
5/1/2026, 6:39:02 PM4 trades$3783 min
7/6/2026, 7:38:46 PM21 trades$3455 min
6/14/2026, 1:07:24 PM2 trades$3200 min
5/2/2026, 2:03:18 PM35 trades$3092 min
5/3/2026, 2:04:08 PM9 trades$3030 min
6/25/2026, 9:44:10 AM18 trades$2972 min
4/30/2026, 4:15:40 PM54 trades$27315 min
6/17/2026, 9:56:32 PM6 trades$2722 min
6/18/2026, 12:55:47 AM62 trades$2652 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-22
05-08
05-26
06-16
07-01
07-19
08-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 4 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
18% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
56% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.77/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L17.6 / M17.4 / H64.9