@0x491112d0630652b626ad48a6d4e822c31407bbf7

0

0x491112d0630652b626ad48a6d4e822c31407bbf7

~24d· 180 markets · 925 trades2026-08-02 05:19:47
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

0
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

21% (37/175)0/20
0.42x (win $346 / loss $822)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.1490/15
Sortino -5.0390/10
$-0.3845 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 6614 (175 markets)0/10
4/22 profitable days (18%)0/10
Max DD 960% of peak ($532 / $55)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
48% entries < $0.20

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-465
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,239
Total Redeem
$354
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
180
total markets
Trades
350B / 575S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~24d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
21%
37W / 138L events
Realized PnL
$-465
Win Rate
21%
37W / 138L
Profit Factor
0.42x
Avg Win
$9
Avg Loss
$-10

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $119 (0.2567579201101928% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?$52
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 10PM ET$35
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9PM ET$32
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8PM ET$29
Belgium vs. IR Iran: Neither team to score first?$27
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: Neither team to score first?$23
England vs. Ghana: Neither team to score first?$20
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$16
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5PM ET$16
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET$13

Top Losers

Will Spain vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?$-204
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?$-188
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2AM ET$-50
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET$-40
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 8PM ET$-30
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9AM ET$-27
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET$-22
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8PM ET$-22
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10PM ET$-20
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20?$-19

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.263
Sortino
-0.228
HHI
262
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.392
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8.4%
Top-5 markets
27.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
18.5
Active
Markets / Day
3.6
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
47.0m
between trades
Night Trading
19%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.27
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
12.0

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 112s — normal for humanCV 2.27 — diverse sizes (human-like)19% night trades — unusual hours19/24 hours — extended activity18 trades/day — very active3.6 markets/day — normal38% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.19
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)47.7%
Mid (20-55c)14.3%
High (>55c)38%

Sessions

#12
6/21/2026, 6:02:26 PM2 trades$78,0000 min
6/21/2026, 3:06:01 AM2 trades$14,0000 min
6/23/2026, 3:13:41 PM16 trades$2,02111 min
6/23/2026, 9:59:49 PM19 trades$2,0022 min
6/22/2026, 11:17:05 AM4 trades$2,0000 min
6/22/2026, 3:11:58 PM4 trades$2,0001 min
6/21/2026, 11:00:01 AM2 trades$1,2500 min
6/29/2026, 11:30:35 AM46 trades$1,0875 min
6/21/2026, 2:03:52 AM12 trades$1,0449 min
6/22/2026, 11:50:59 AM8 trades$1,0063 min
6/22/2026, 2:33:47 PM6 trades$1,0045 min
6/21/2026, 2:44:58 AM2 trades$1,0000 min
6/21/2026, 2:52:59 AM2 trades$1,0000 min
6/23/2026, 10:19:07 PM2 trades$1,0000 min
7/1/2026, 9:39:34 PM2 trades$1,0000 min
7/19/2026, 11:08:57 AM2 trades$1,0000 min
7/31/2026, 6:57:17 PM2 trades$1,0000 min
7/28/2026, 8:46:52 PM4 trades$5780 min
6/23/2026, 11:03:53 PM46 trades$48116 min
6/17/2026, 4:07:31 PM37 trades$23216 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-13
06-16
06-19
06-22
06-30
07-05
07-19
07-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 46 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
62.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.19/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L47.7 / M14.3 / H38