@chasinbands

#60,23861

0x496d65519e0b65ca8981e95c9d2b56d89793a2f2

~82d· 589 markets · 3145 tradesVol: $279,4122026-08-04 22:48:57
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

61
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

15% (90/589)0/20
1.49x (win $3,006 / loss $2,013)8.7/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.77615/15
Sortino 6.64110/10
$+0.2351 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 606 (589 markets)9.5/10
25/81 profitable days (31%)0.2/10
Max DD 34% of peak ($339 / $993)7.2/10

Badges

3
Profitable
PnL $+1,647
Lottery Player
88% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

2
🌤️ WEATHER#1,122$1,635Vol: $278,932
CRYPTO#222,008$12Vol: $480

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,647
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$279,412
Total Redeem
$5
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
589
total markets
Trades
2019B / 1126S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~82d

Periods

#2
Today
$139
Vol: $5,094
Week
$261
Vol: $15,875
Month
$213
Vol: $21,886
All Time
$1,647
Vol: $279,412

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
15%
89W / 499L events
Realized PnL
$1,647
Win Rate
15%
89W / 499L
Profit Factor
1.49x
Avg Win
$33
Avg Loss
$-4

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,159 (0.7035853960696674% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C or higher on May 13?$406
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on May 10?$380
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on May 8?$372
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 16?$293
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C on August 4?$161
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on June 13?$152
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C or below on August 4?$128
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on July 31?$79
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 27?$78
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 14?$78

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on April 30?$-145
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 6?$-90
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on July 18?$-63
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 34°C on August 4?$-56
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on April 30?$-41
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on April 30?$-40
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on May 15?$-30
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on May 9?$-26
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 13?$-24
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on May 15?$-22

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.144
Sortino
0.335
HHI
276
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.235
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
9.8%
Top-5 markets
30.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
30.5
Active
Markets / Day
5.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
4:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
55.8m
between trades
Night Trading
24%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.62
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
13.7

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 314s — normal for humanCV 4.61 — diverse sizes (human-like)24% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock31 trades/day — high frequency5.7 markets/day — normal64% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 4:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.34
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)88.2%
Mid (20-55c)2.2%
High (>55c)9.7%

Sessions

#12
5/9/2026, 3:32:25 AM10 trades$6,7633 min
6/20/2026, 10:40:53 PM9 trades$1,5011 min
4/30/2026, 4:01:36 AM30 trades$7522 min
5/8/2026, 4:44:34 PM10 trades$6631 min
5/11/2026, 10:15:51 AM16 trades$4775 min
5/8/2026, 4:54:59 PM13 trades$4731 min
5/10/2026, 8:20:22 AM16 trades$4160 min
5/14/2026, 3:00:27 PM4 trades$3652 min
5/10/2026, 7:54:47 AM11 trades$3641 min
7/18/2026, 12:54:04 PM28 trades$3306 min
7/21/2026, 4:03:13 PM49 trades$33010 min
5/8/2026, 10:26:40 AM14 trades$3242 min
7/18/2026, 7:28:58 AM3 trades$3121 min
6/11/2026, 3:38:09 PM21 trades$3040 min
5/14/2026, 3:19:01 AM6 trades$2991 min
6/11/2026, 3:30:34 AM18 trades$2966 min
5/6/2026, 7:31:56 PM5 trades$2841 min
5/13/2026, 7:01:31 AM15 trades$26812 min
6/10/2026, 4:00:19 PM10 trades$2590 min
5/10/2026, 8:47:50 AM18 trades$2535 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-24
05-08
06-06
06-19
07-04
07-18
08-02
08-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 10 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
100% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
35.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.34/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L88.2 / M2.2 / H9.7