CubaLibra

@CubaLibra

#3,057,47340

0x49f3dcb7387f397217de65e7458dcff6e10076fb

~331d· 3335 markets · 11361 tradesVol: $3,072,0552026-08-04 20:57:17
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

91% (3038/3334)20/20
0.63x (win $18,643 / loss $29,395)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.7850/15
Sortino -0.8830/10
$-0.0124 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 75 (3334 markets)10/10
269/314 profitable days (86%)10/10
Max DD 232% of peak ($20,758 / $8,964)0/10

Badges

6
Sniper
Win rate 91%
Whale
$868,886 invested
Consistent
269/314 profitable days
High Roller
$1,766/day
Win Streak
59 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
CRYPTO#28,293$1,140Vol: $1,821,504
🏛️ POLITICS#1,638,081$-10,292Vol: $1,016,509
💰 FINANCE#9,498$307Vol: $116,241
📢 MENTIONS#174,761$-873Vol: $62,397
🎭 CULTURE#17,155$139Vol: $20,868
📈 ECONOMICS#21,898$35Vol: $12,300
SPORTS#185,033$38Vol: $7,813
🌤️ WEATHER#31,510$5Vol: $3,181
💻 TECH#11,109$29Vol: $1,875

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-9,471
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,072,055
Total Redeem
$256,033
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
3335
total markets
Trades
7408B / 3953S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~331d

Periods

#2
Today
$7
Vol: $20,245
Week
$21
Vol: $41,026
Month
$48
Vol: $44,499
All Time
$-9,471
Vol: $3,072,055

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
91%
3034W / 296L events
Realized PnL
$-9,471
Win Rate
91%
3034W / 296L
Profit Factor
0.63x
Avg Win
$6
Avg Loss
$-200

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $10,797 (1.1399972547487567% of PnL)

Top Winners

Israel strikes Yemen by Friday?$5,319
Will Israel strike Yemen on September 9 ET?$3,907
Another successful Houthi attack on shipping in July?$1,571
Another Houthi strike on Israel by August 31?$283
Will Ethereum reach $4200 in August?$246
Israel strikes Yemen by August 31?$227
Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by Sunday, July 27?$208
Houthi strike on Israel before August?$159
Bitcoin above $115K on August 21 at 4PM ET?$157
Israel strikes Yemen by August 31?$152

Top Losers

Houthi strike on Israel by August 31?$-11,157
Will Israel strike Yemen on September 10 ET?$-5,718
Another Houthi strike on Israel by September 15?$-1,945
Houthi strike on Israel by September 30?$-1,738
Will Israel strike Lebanon on November 4?$-1,566
Bitcoin above 66,600 on March 31, 11AM ET?$-1,306
Will Leavitt say "Go ahead" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?$-1,222
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?$-866
Bitcoin above 79,200 on April 26, 9PM ET?$-583
Will Israel first announce ceasefire on October 8?$-290

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.041
Sortino
-0.018
HHI
50
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.013
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3%
Top-5 markets
9.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
23.1
Active
Markets / Day
6.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
50.1m
between trades
Night Trading
16%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.44
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.1

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 318s — normal for humanCV 3.45 — diverse sizes (human-like)16% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock23 trades/day — high frequency6.8 markets/day — normal58% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.4
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)3.8%
Mid (20-55c)2.2%
High (>55c)93.9%

Sessions

#12
8/15/2025, 10:42:18 PM5 trades$12,9788 min
8/9/2025, 5:10:49 AM6 trades$11,9761 min
7/21/2025, 12:58:12 PM1 trades$11,1720 min
7/23/2025, 7:26:29 PM1 trades$11,1720 min
7/21/2025, 8:28:43 AM4 trades$11,1365 min
8/15/2025, 10:55:44 PM13 trades$10,17014 min
8/13/2025, 8:32:41 AM1 trades$10,0730 min
7/21/2025, 2:47:17 AM1 trades$10,0340 min
7/20/2025, 9:59:29 PM2 trades$9,7930 min
7/19/2025, 4:07:42 PM4 trades$8,1863 min
8/22/2025, 1:21:49 AM4 trades$7,0540 min
6/7/2026, 4:14:49 AM6 trades$6,8861 min
7/29/2025, 8:30:27 PM2 trades$6,5220 min
7/16/2025, 2:36:32 PM3 trades$6,4663 min
8/20/2025, 9:34:32 AM1 trades$6,4540 min
6/25/2026, 3:32:02 PM4 trades$6,1190 min
8/13/2025, 5:25:40 PM1 trades$6,0520 min
9/10/2025, 8:32:33 AM1 trades$5,9380 min
9/10/2025, 9:53:03 AM6 trades$5,9381 min
8/19/2025, 10:33:42 PM2 trades$5,9201 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-18
09-14
12-04
01-28
03-21
06-06
08-03
08-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 251 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
34.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.4/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L3.8 / M2.2 / H93.9