Peaven

@Peaven

#74,15885

0x4b4806c46359b67fe6afce2c9be664184f5335d0

~395d· 488 markets · 1768 tradesVol: $34,1092026-08-24 15:25:39
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

85
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

76% (321/425)20/20
1.62x (win $2,353 / loss $1,449)10.3/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.00415/15
Sortino 3.16110/10
$+0.0704 per $1 invested3.5/10
HHI 59 (425 markets)10/10
192/249 profitable days (77%)10/10
Max DD 37% of peak ($353 / $946)6.5/10

Badges

6
Sniper
Win rate 76%
Profitable
PnL $+1,173
Consistent
192/249 profitable days
Win Streak
14 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
72% maker orders

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#20,370$826Vol: $25,539
SPORTS#63,267$405Vol: $5,882
🎭 CULTURE#780,618$-76Vol: $1,288
📢 MENTIONS#19,500$10Vol: $410
📈 ECONOMICS#48,894$8Vol: $399
💰 FINANCE#53,276$11Vol: $230
💻 TECH#16,404$13Vol: $180
🌤️ WEATHER#43,272$2Vol: $56
CRYPTO#547,474$0Vol: $20

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,199
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$34,109
Total Redeem
$139
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
488
total markets
Trades
1182B / 586S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~395d

Periods

#2
Today
$2
Vol: $0
Week
$2
Vol: $50
Month
$172
Vol: $2,703
All Time
$1,199
Vol: $34,109

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
76%
321W / 104L events
Realized PnL
$1,173
Win Rate
76%
321W / 104L
Profit Factor
1.62x
Avg Win
$7
Avg Loss
$-15

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $606 (0.5167879103166549% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Linda Nosková be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?$308
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?$195
US strikes Yemen by December 31?$103
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$81
Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by by June 30?$61
Will Robert MacIntyre win the 2026 Valero Texas Open?$43
Will Mercedes finish second in the 2025 Constructors' Championship?$43
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$41
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?$35
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2025 FedEx Cup?$30

Top Losers

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$-245
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$-76
Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?$-51
Will Trump attend UFC 327?$-51
Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2025 PGA Tour Player of the Year award?$-50
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$-49
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$-49
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before US x Iran ceasefire?$-48
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?$-46
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?$-44

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.105
Sortino
0.087
HHI
35
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.093
Kelly %
14.8%
Half-Kelly
7.4%
Top-1 market
1.9%
Top-5 markets
7.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.9h
between trades
Avg Gap
4.3h
between trades
Night Trading
10%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.98
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.8

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 6966s — normal for humanCV 0.99 — diverse sizes (human-like)10% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal0.9 markets/day — normal72% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.72
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)7.9%
Mid (20-55c)19.6%
High (>55c)72.5%

Sessions

#12
6/11/2026, 6:26:58 AM5 trades$1714 min
5/19/2026, 4:11:25 PM6 trades$1375 min
8/5/2026, 10:23:20 PM4 trades$1362 min
5/23/2026, 1:19:21 AM2 trades$1150 min
8/19/2026, 7:30:49 AM5 trades$1105 min
7/19/2026, 9:37:24 PM2 trades$1050 min
5/23/2026, 9:53:43 AM4 trades$1050 min
1/1/2026, 11:39:33 PM2 trades$1010 min
4/20/2025, 3:13:12 PM3 trades$985 min
4/17/2026, 1:32:18 PM3 trades$960 min
4/20/2026, 7:22:08 PM2 trades$950 min
4/13/2026, 4:42:33 PM2 trades$930 min
7/26/2026, 10:06:37 PM4 trades$911 min
8/20/2026, 7:54:57 AM4 trades$900 min
6/14/2026, 6:57:34 AM1 trades$890 min
6/25/2026, 6:30:02 PM5 trades$873 min
4/30/2026, 5:21:36 PM3 trades$870 min
1/27/2026, 1:33:45 PM3 trades$865 min
8/1/2026, 6:23:38 PM5 trades$863 min
10/15/2025, 2:53:01 PM7 trades$8214 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-28
07-14
09-26
11-25
01-30
04-08
08-11

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 39 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
33.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.72/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L7.9 / M19.6 / H72.5