@0x4bD8d5…5788

#87,49340

0x4bd8d58a18ceea9f82bc512505554711f2ea5c53

~152d· 428 markets · 969 tradesVol: $597,9682026-09-21 18:02:47
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

40
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

68% (273/400)19.1/20
0.91x (win $32,324 / loss $35,640)1.3/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.6760/15
Sortino -0.8370/10
$-0.0092 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 191 (400 markets)10/10
82/119 profitable days (69%)9.7/10
Max DD 224% of peak ($10,076 / $4,504)0/10

Badges

6
Sniper
Win rate 68%
Profitable
PnL $+842
Whale
$360,724 invested
Consistent
82/119 profitable days
Win Streak
13 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#21,694$752Vol: $356,968
SPORTS#1,537,351$-30Vol: $149,123
CRYPTO#1,679,173$-1,618Vol: $41,838
🎭 CULTURE#5,936$780Vol: $29,134
📈 ECONOMICS#2,914$1,082Vol: $17,582
💰 FINANCE#14,944$143Vol: $3,000
📢 MENTIONS#175,256$-270Vol: $300
💻 TECH#28,305$4Vol: $24

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$842
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$597,968
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
428
total markets
Trades
752B / 217S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~152d

Periods

#2
Today
$-10
Vol: $2,672
Week
$-243
Vol: $9,310
Month
$-244
Vol: $18,522
All Time
$842
Vol: $597,968

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
68%
272W / 127L events
Realized PnL
$842
Win Rate
68%
272W / 127L
Profit Factor
0.91x
Avg Win
$118
Avg Loss
$-283

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $6,520 (7.746091522524235% of PnL)

Top Winners

Ethereum all time high by June 30?$3,050
Will Omar Fateh win the 2025 Minneapolis mayoral election?$1,818
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1,652
Starmer out in 2025?$1,014
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair in 2025?$876
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$729
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?$600
US forces enter Iran by March 31?$510
Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?$482
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$440

Top Losers

Swell airdrop by September 30?$-2,937
Will the DHS shutdown last 60 days or more?$-2,639
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?$-2,338
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1,928
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?$-1,800
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?$-1,500
Will Catherine Connolly win the Irish Presidential Election?$-1,084
Will a new country buy Bitcoin in 2025?$-1,063
Will Heather Humphreys win the Irish Presidential Election?$-817
Will Everton FC win on 2026-01-07?$-790

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.035
Sortino
-0.031
HHI
185
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.010
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.2%
Top-5 markets
23%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.6h
between trades
Night Trading
6%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.20
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.0

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 108s — normal for humanCV 3.20 — diverse sizes (human-like)6% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal35% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.1
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)6%
Mid (20-55c)12.5%
High (>55c)81.5%

Sessions

#12
3/3/2025, 9:22:39 PM1 trades$25,9100 min
7/28/2025, 9:40:29 AM6 trades$23,8887 min
7/8/2025, 11:29:19 AM1 trades$20,0000 min
2/18/2026, 1:46:52 PM6 trades$16,21312 min
8/18/2026, 4:10:27 PM3 trades$15,0000 min
4/16/2025, 4:51:52 PM4 trades$13,5714 min
7/20/2025, 1:40:19 PM4 trades$10,6328 min
1/7/2026, 10:55:29 AM11 trades$10,26414 min
6/11/2026, 11:36:51 AM14 trades$10,2135 min
8/1/2025, 2:09:14 PM2 trades$8,0001 min
2/28/2026, 4:50:51 PM2 trades$7,4681 min
2/4/2026, 3:51:51 PM6 trades$6,93513 min
4/2/2026, 8:31:49 AM2 trades$5,9940 min
3/29/2026, 1:14:38 PM1 trades$5,7800 min
1/31/2026, 7:20:10 PM4 trades$5,3053 min
2/23/2026, 11:29:20 AM2 trades$5,1301 min
1/3/2026, 7:27:29 PM1 trades$4,9950 min
1/3/2026, 2:03:43 PM1 trades$4,9000 min
1/3/2026, 7:02:13 PM3 trades$4,9002 min
2/18/2026, 7:25:48 PM1 trades$4,8250 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-02
07-20
11-21
12-17
01-13
02-28
08-18

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 222 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
22.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.1/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L6 / M12.5 / H81.5