@TheManInTheSky

#3,026,86919

0x4bc26247abd4c4f908c786c4873acd49beb2597a

~466d· 434 markets · 15922 tradesVol: $5,138,2802026-08-02 05:20:41
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

19
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

40% (163/408)5/20
0.87x (win $74,491 / loss $85,861)0.8/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.6010/15
Sortino -0.7210/10
$-0.0193 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 206 (408 markets)10/10
90/212 profitable days (42%)3.1/10
Max DD 147% of peak ($38,140 / $26,012)0/10

Badges

6
Lottery Player
50% entries < $0.20
Whale
$589,394 invested
High Roller
$1,165/day
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
79% maker orders

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#1,632,658$-3,983Vol: $4,753,317
🎭 CULTURE#2,884$2,223Vol: $307,562
₿ CRYPTO#1,623,738$-1,218Vol: $34,804
💰 FINANCE#648,797$-503Vol: $32,018
📈 ECONOMICS#649,498$-56Vol: $10,559
💻 TECH#32,517$2Vol: $20

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-3,535
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$5,138,280
Total Redeem
$157
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
434
total markets
Trades
10890B / 5032S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~466d

Periods

#2
Today
$-95
Vol: $1,804
Week
$-252
Vol: $1,804
Month
$-370
Vol: $6,610
All Time
$-3,535
Vol: $5,138,280

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
40%
163W / 245L events
Realized PnL
$-3,535
Win Rate
40%
163W / 245L
Profit Factor
0.87x
Avg Win
$457
Avg Loss
$-359

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $16,186 (4.578675062445015% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by November 15?$5,791
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk by August 31?$5,506
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by September 30?$4,889
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?$4,638
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$3,996
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?$2,701
Will Russia capture Pokrovsk train station by October 31?$2,672
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31?$2,578
US military action against Iran before August?$2,517
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by October 31?$2,296

Top Losers

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$-9,713
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?$-8,056
Will Russia capture Siversk by October 31?$-4,501
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?$-4,055
Will Russia capture Siversk by September 30?$-3,194
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 17?$-2,558
Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by November 30?$-2,411
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?$-2,195
Will Russia capture Myrnohrad by October 31?$-1,780
Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?$-1,735

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.031
Sortino
-0.030
HHI
166
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.020
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8.1%
Top-5 markets
21.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
31.5
Active
Markets / Day
0.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
9.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
48.9m
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.54
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.5

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 560s — normal for humanCV 2.54 — diverse sizes (human-like)20% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock31 trades/day — high frequency0.9 markets/day — normal79% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
35.78
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)49.7%
Mid (20-55c)23.6%
High (>55c)26.7%

Sessions

#12
5/24/2025, 11:01:01 PM1 trades$9,3000 min
5/28/2025, 8:29:00 PM6 trades$7,6160 min
5/29/2025, 6:35:51 AM2 trades$6,3701 min
4/18/2025, 10:39:52 AM1 trades$6,3310 min
7/28/2025, 11:10:57 PM4 trades$6,0698 min
7/15/2026, 11:53:37 PM2 trades$5,6930 min
6/25/2025, 10:50:49 AM9 trades$5,4803 min
8/8/2025, 11:06:49 PM9 trades$5,4311 min
8/22/2025, 8:33:32 PM1 trades$5,2800 min
8/20/2025, 4:09:36 PM8 trades$5,17916 min
8/8/2025, 5:53:59 PM14 trades$5,06111 min
6/21/2025, 6:13:42 PM1 trades$4,9890 min
4/19/2025, 10:17:34 PM28 trades$4,96513 min
10/3/2025, 11:16:51 AM6 trades$4,9543 min
8/8/2025, 5:39:37 PM6 trades$4,7436 min
8/8/2025, 5:33:31 PM7 trades$4,2460 min
10/8/2025, 7:27:38 PM72 trades$4,01463 min
6/27/2025, 12:06:19 AM5 trades$3,9800 min
5/27/2025, 5:31:34 AM4 trades$3,8773 min
5/24/2025, 11:23:29 AM4 trades$3,7000 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-23
08-13
10-15
12-05
02-22
04-28
07-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 273 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
31.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 35.78/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L49.7 / M23.6 / H26.7