@PotDeVigne

#3,079,38710

0x4c15130b0595241e7bf3a3347eafce84c192cc6b

~79d· 80 markets · 933 tradesVol: $299,0682026-08-24 23:28:49
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

18% (14/76)0/20
0.36x (win $6,547 / loss $18,195)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.2310/15
Sortino -4.6350/10
$-0.3498 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 570 (76 markets)9.6/10
8/44 profitable days (18%)0/10
Max DD 473% of peak ($14,771 / $3,122)0/10

Badges

2
Lottery Player
62% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

5
CRYPTO#1,654,195$-1,348Vol: $204,966
SPORTS#1,830,134$-783Vol: $40,588
🎭 CULTURE#821,618$-2,019Vol: $27,674
🏛️ POLITICS#1,627,032$-1,083Vol: $25,562
💰 FINANCE#589,090$-14Vol: $278

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-5,247
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$299,068
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
80
total markets
Trades
723B / 210S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~79d

Periods

#2
Today
$-15
Vol: $0
Week
$-15
Vol: $0
Month
$-899
Vol: $6,170
All Time
$-5,247
Vol: $299,068

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
18%
14W / 62L events
Realized PnL
$-4,847
Win Rate
18%
14W / 62L
Profit Factor
0.36x
Avg Win
$468
Avg Loss
$-325

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $4,602 (0.9492658996622952% of PnL)

Top Winners

Monad market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?$2,103
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,100 and $3,200 on January 2?$1,342
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 4?$1,156
MegaETH $250M pre-deposit bridge filled in 15 minutes?$1,015
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 3?$336
Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?$195
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 6?$146
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 4?$94
Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 December 29-January 4?$52
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 11?$48

Top Losers

Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?$-5,675
Will the Gävle Goat burn in 2025?$-2,020
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?$-1,968
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July?$-944
HumidiFi FDV above $300M one day after launch?$-691
Ethereum Up or Down on December 4?$-690
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June?$-660
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in July?$-631
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?$-456
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-449

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.219
Sortino
-0.233
HHI
766
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.321
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
15.6%
Top-5 markets
51.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.3h
between trades
Night Trading
7%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.68
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.7

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 200s — normal for humanCV 2.68 — diverse sizes (human-like)7% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock4 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal69% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
11.41
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)61.7%
Mid (20-55c)28.8%
High (>55c)9.5%

Sessions

#12
6/24/2026, 6:58:40 PM12 trades$6,0496 min
6/15/2026, 5:02:31 PM22 trades$5,2988 min
7/15/2026, 7:01:56 PM12 trades$3,4741 min
11/25/2025, 10:11:13 AM4 trades$3,2703 min
11/21/2025, 5:24:05 PM6 trades$3,0975 min
5/5/2026, 1:25:12 PM12 trades$2,9462 min
8/10/2026, 8:04:55 PM9 trades$2,2310 min
5/18/2026, 3:53:54 PM17 trades$2,0010 min
3/4/2026, 9:35:21 AM3 trades$1,8662 min
6/16/2026, 8:31:01 PM12 trades$1,6504 min
6/15/2026, 4:01:13 PM22 trades$1,3298 min
11/20/2025, 9:08:33 PM1 trades$1,3000 min
6/24/2026, 7:25:26 PM7 trades$1,2652 min
1/12/2026, 5:35:41 PM3 trades$1,2575 min
11/20/2025, 9:23:03 PM1 trades$1,2540 min
11/25/2025, 1:30:15 PM1 trades$1,2540 min
7/5/2026, 8:08:37 PM22 trades$1,1641 min
11/27/2025, 12:57:11 PM4 trades$1,0581 min
11/25/2025, 1:59:19 PM4 trades$1,0044 min
7/19/2026, 9:45:01 PM12 trades$9548 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-20
12-04
01-03
02-16
03-04
06-11
07-15

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 236 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
22.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 11.41/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L61.7 / M28.8 / H9.5