@op248

#3,053,90719

0x4c28a0d85f4eff436d0d7648f02dc8f13b967d74

~18d· 43 markets · 260 tradesVol: $580,0642026-10-08 02:51:14
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

19
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

43% (18/42)6.4/20
0.79x (win $4,646 / loss $5,916)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.9020/15
Sortino -3.4590/10
$-0.0533 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 689 (42 markets)9.1/10
6/14 profitable days (43%)3.2/10
Max DD 170% of peak ($3,077 / $1,808)0/10

Badges

2
Lottery Player
41% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active

Categories

5
🏛️ POLITICS#114,031$31Vol: $393,177
₿ CRYPTO#1,644,566$-555Vol: $118,825
📢 MENTIONS#1,621$746Vol: $54,991
🎭 CULTURE#775,089$-58Vol: $7,461
📈 ECONOMICS#697,014$-1,433Vol: $5,610

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,269
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$580,064
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
43
total markets
Trades
160B / 100S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~18d

Periods

#2
Today
$-232
Vol: $41,812
Week
$-278
Vol: $87,782
Month
$-495
Vol: $279,863
All Time
$-1,269
Vol: $580,064

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
43%
18W / 24L events
Realized PnL
$-2,038
Win Rate
43%
18W / 24L
Profit Factor
0.79x
Avg Win
$258
Avg Loss
$-246

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,491 (1.2221573571687876% of PnL)

Top Winners

Solana above $145 on March 7?$1,013
Will Donald Trump say "Ulbricht" during Crypto Summit on Friday?$888
Will Trump's 2025 joint address get <34m viewers?$589
Will Jerome Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during the March meeting?$450
Will Trump say 'Elon' or 'Musk' during the 2025 State of the Union?$310
Will Donald Trump say "Barron" during Crypto Summit on Friday?$276
Will Karoline Leavitt say "War" 5+ times during next White House press briefing?$275
Will Trump say "Biden" during his presser with Ireland PM?$247
Will Trump say 'Mexico' 5+ times during the 2025 State of the Union?$202
Will Trump say "Rule of Law" during his DOJ appearance on Friday?$168

Top Losers

Will Jerome Powell say "China" during the March meeting?$-862
Will Jerome Powell say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the March meeting?$-821
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by March 31?$-624
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by March 31?$-580
Will Donald Trump say "Reserve" during Crypto Summit on Friday?$-480
Will Trump say 'crypto' or 'Bitcoin' during the 2025 State of the Union?$-392
Will Jerome Powell say "Growth" 8 or more times during the March meeting?$-199
Will Trump issue an executive order on March 8?$-199
Will Trump issue an executive order on March 9?$-197
Will Donald Trump say "Solana" during Crypto Summit on Friday?$-192

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.146
Sortino
-0.177
HHI
435
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.057
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
10.3%
Top-5 markets
35.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2h
between trades
Night Trading
39%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.39
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.8

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 270s — normal for humanCV 1.39 — diverse sizes (human-like)38% night trades — never sleeps22/24 hours — around the clock0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal26% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 3:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.5
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)40.6%
Mid (20-55c)31.2%
High (>55c)28.1%

Sessions

#12
3/3/2025, 7:43:18 PM3 trades$3,5285 min
3/6/2025, 3:42:27 PM5 trades$2,0196 min
3/5/2025, 3:43:30 AM6 trades$1,53013 min
3/10/2025, 9:16:01 AM3 trades$1,3484 min
3/6/2025, 3:01:21 PM3 trades$1,2873 min
3/3/2025, 6:04:05 PM3 trades$1,2684 min
9/16/2026, 2:57:42 AM27 trades$1,2234 min
3/3/2025, 6:32:06 PM3 trades$1,1883 min
3/6/2025, 4:23:51 PM3 trades$1,0491 min
3/10/2025, 10:10:27 AM4 trades$1,0263 min
3/20/2026, 10:32:45 PM2 trades$1,0001 min
3/5/2025, 4:59:48 AM2 trades$9712 min
3/14/2025, 4:34:38 AM5 trades$8466 min
3/4/2025, 8:33:07 PM2 trades$7642 min
3/4/2025, 6:04:51 PM3 trades$7484 min
3/4/2025, 11:23:25 PM4 trades$7254 min
3/3/2025, 10:34:19 PM5 trades$6975 min
3/11/2025, 9:09:24 PM1 trades$6780 min
3/4/2025, 4:50:10 PM1 trades$6400 min
3/5/2025, 10:40:39 PM1 trades$5680 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-03
03-05
03-07
03-09
03-12
03-14
03-18

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 13 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
38.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.5/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L40.6 / M31.2 / H28.1