@cyfrav
#14,213230x4c2a07d0b2f77d7b2cc30d9c7379fbf80ed265dc
~463d· 1903 markets · 117625 tradesVol: $29,066,5912026-08-02 04:11:32
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
23
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
46% (842/1836)7.9/20
0.63x (win $107,925 / loss $171,113)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.4910/15
Sortino -1.5870/10
$-0.1130 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 137 (1836 markets)10/10
183/351 profitable days (52%)5.5/10
Max DD 529% of peak ($77,914 / $14,726)0/10
Badges
7Profitable
PnL $+10,344
Lottery Player
91% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 63.4 entries/market
Whale
$559,194 invested
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
97% maker orders
Categories
9⚽ SPORTS#5,769$9,197Vol: $15,937,234
🏛️ POLITICS#11,295$2,077Vol: $6,153,243
🎭 CULTURE#2,928$2,176Vol: $4,991,003
₿ CRYPTO#1,627,878$-1,345Vol: $835,826
📈 ECONOMICS#678,795$-1,255Vol: $426,587
📢 MENTIONS#174,522$-894Vol: $281,810
💰 FINANCE#12,005$209Vol: $251,686
🌤️ WEATHER#280,016$-69Vol: $50,607
💻 TECH#242,646$-48Vol: $8,674
Overview
#1Net PnL
$10,344
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$29,066,591
Total Redeem
$62
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1903
total markets
Trades
89831B / 27794S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~463d
Periods
#2Today
$29
Vol: $0
Week
$-107
Vol: $0
Month
$62
Vol: $1,051
All Time
$10,344
Vol: $29,066,591
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
46%
842W / 994L events
Realized PnL
$10,344
Win Rate
46%
842W / 994L
Profit Factor
0.63x
Avg Win
$128
Avg Loss
$-178
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $38,453 (3.717388677333689% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$20,126
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$10,321
Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$8,006
Spread: Germany (-5.5)$7,491
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-05-17?$4,214
Will FC Nantes vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?$3,185
Spread: Germany (-4.5)$2,190
Will the US next strike Iran on February 26, 2026 (ET)?$1,396
Will the government shutdown end November 13?$1,354
Will the government shutdown end November 12?$1,343
Top Losers
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-18,214
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$-17,415
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-14,191
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-13,776
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-10,650
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-7,393
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-7,212
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-6,307
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$-5,556
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$-4,625
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.078
Sortino
-0.059
HHI
138
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.115
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.2%
Top-5 markets
19.7%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
166.4
Very active
Markets / Day
2.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
7.6m
between trades
Night Trading
24%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
12.56
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
32 min
Avg Trades / Session
107.7
Bot Detection
#665
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 74s — normal for humanCV 12.56 — diverse sizes (human-like)24% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock166 trades/day — automation2.7 markets/day — normal97% maker — systematic market making
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 21:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
63.36
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)91.4%
Mid (20-55c)1.7%
High (>55c)6.9%
Sessions
#124/1/2026, 10:39:59 PM1223 trades$17,5838 min
4/28/2026, 1:25:52 PM125 trades$15,07862 min
4/7/2026, 9:26:45 PM65 trades$14,85951 min
7/7/2026, 5:31:22 PM8 trades$13,5205 min
7/7/2026, 7:30:47 PM8 trades$12,1782 min
4/8/2026, 1:46:45 AM787 trades$12,136272 min
4/2/2026, 9:34:31 PM52 trades$12,1029 min
4/7/2026, 10:57:13 AM9 trades$11,00315 min
4/9/2026, 11:32:35 AM46 trades$10,00923 min
4/7/2026, 11:20:01 PM262 trades$9,107112 min
4/1/2026, 10:53:21 AM83 trades$7,83654 min
4/1/2026, 12:31:59 PM179 trades$7,597142 min
11/13/2025, 4:46:06 AM57 trades$7,23167 min
2/9/2026, 12:00:11 AM972 trades$7,147185 min
4/4/2026, 11:12:07 PM14 trades$6,1442 min
6/6/2026, 1:00:30 PM11 trades$5,7208 min
7/6/2026, 1:36:05 AM14 trades$5,6156 min
7/3/2026, 12:54:44 AM57 trades$5,43631 min
1/25/2026, 4:52:02 PM17 trades$5,2758 min
2/27/2026, 1:29:00 AM41 trades$4,6176 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-02
03-08
11-18
01-16
03-18
05-17
07-29
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 156 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
23.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 63.36/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L91.4 / M1.7 / H6.9