Evilgoldfish

@Evilgoldfish

#3,102,57723

0x4c3d773f6affb2d8c3bdde1b377ba6b519673735

~11d· 14 markets · 76 tradesVol: $420,9212026-08-23 11:02:59
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

23
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

50% (7/14)10/20
0.26x (win $11,899 / loss $44,944)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -8.7990/15
Sortino -8.3700/10
$-0.6296 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1212 (14 markets)6.4/10
5/9 profitable days (56%)6.4/10
Max DD 386% of peak ($44,591 / $11,546)0/10

Badges

3
Contrarian
59% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 7.1 entries/market
Whale
$52,488 invested

Categories

3
SPORTS#3,506$16,489Vol: $192,258
🏛️ POLITICS#1,642,297$-4,482Vol: $18,684
CRYPTO#1,469,330$-87Vol: $2,282

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-30,866
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$420,921
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
14
total markets
Trades
29B / 47S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~11d

Periods

#2
Week
$-3,566
Vol: $0
Month
$-32,607
Vol: $90,323
All Time
$-30,866
Vol: $420,921

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
50%
7W / 7L events
Realized PnL
$-30,866
Win Rate
50%
7W / 7L
Profit Factor
0.26x
Avg Win
$1,700
Avg Loss
$-6,421

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $11,583 (0.37528142089161143% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bulls vs. Thunder: O/U 240.5$5,789
Bulls vs. Grizzlies$5,595
Warriors vs. Nuggets$200
Rockets vs. Pelicans$166
LoL: JD Gaming vs Oh My God (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2$117
Wizards vs. Lakers$30
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs LYON (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs$2

Top Losers

US forces enter Iran by April 30?$-17,927
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs$-11,728
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner$-7,530
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Weibo Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana$-5,018
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?$-1,853
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?$-537
Bulls vs. Grizzlies: O/U 243.5$-351

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.434
Sortino
-0.547
HHI
1581
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.549
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
29.4%
Top-5 markets
70.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
11/24
Normal
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.5h
between trades
Avg Gap
6.4h
between trades
Night Trading
12%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.16
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
17
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.5

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 9052s — normal for humanCV 1.16 — diverse sizes (human-like)12% night trades — normal pattern11/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal13% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.14
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)58.6%
High (>55c)41.4%

Sessions

#12
3/28/2026, 2:33:17 AM1 trades$12,7610 min
4/1/2026, 1:56:59 PM22 trades$9,1080 min
3/29/2026, 4:15:16 AM1 trades$8,2370 min
7/17/2026, 1:06:58 PM2 trades$7,2390 min
3/28/2026, 12:02:25 AM1 trades$6,9720 min
7/25/2026, 10:59:09 AM7 trades$6,0150 min
7/29/2026, 11:14:03 AM20 trades$5,9620 min
3/29/2026, 1:15:38 AM2 trades$5,2861 min
3/31/2026, 11:09:15 AM1 trades$4,3870 min
3/31/2026, 3:06:29 AM1 trades$4,3580 min
3/30/2026, 4:13:18 AM1 trades$4,1580 min
3/30/2026, 12:21:30 AM1 trades$3,9920 min
3/29/2026, 12:19:48 AM1 trades$2,9940 min
4/5/2026, 7:14:21 AM8 trades$1,3852 min
4/5/2026, 7:30:33 AM4 trades$1,2570 min
3/16/2026, 2:26:33 PM1 trades$1,0050 min
7/11/2026, 6:33:14 AM2 trades$90 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-28
03-29
03-30
03-31
04-05
07-11
07-17
07-25
07-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 120 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
61.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.14/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M58.6 / H41.4