@SingletonFamilyFund
#2,931,610300x4c4ed674fde7dc998036b3ae92445d00fcdb297b
~89d· 161 markets · 2166 tradesVol: $383,3302026-08-02 05:20:01
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
30
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
59% (72/123)14.3/20
0.53x (win $9,268 / loss $17,341)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.2710/15
Sortino -3.4170/10
$-0.1167 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 386 (123 markets)10/10
25/48 profitable days (52%)5.5/10
Max DD 319% of peak ($13,311 / $4,174)0/10
Badges
4DCA Master
Avg 15.4 entries/market
Whale
$69,203 invested
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
7💰 FINANCE#656,144$-3,528Vol: $292,429
💻 TECH#1,092$1,400Vol: $57,015
🏛️ POLITICS#31,456$383Vol: $14,346
₿ CRYPTO#43,157$498Vol: $11,646
🎭 CULTURE#16,573$147Vol: $1,505
📢 MENTIONS#14,431$20Vol: $1,262
⚽ SPORTS#310,016$7Vol: $1,169
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-1,069
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$383,330
Total Redeem
$1,424
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
161
total markets
Trades
1085B / 1081S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~89d
Periods
#2Today
$-16
Vol: $0
Week
$2,057
Vol: $0
Month
$28
Vol: $674
All Time
$-1,069
Vol: $383,330
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
59%
72W / 51L events
Realized PnL
$-1,054
Win Rate
59%
72W / 51L
Profit Factor
0.53x
Avg Win
$129
Avg Loss
$-469
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,704 (2.5647962813641323% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will the next model released by DeepSeek debut at a score of at least 1460?$1,024
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?$996
Will the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score between 1500 and 1510?$684
Will any AI model reach 1550 Coding Arena Score by June 30, 2026?$597
Will Google have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?$553
Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?$532
BitBoy convicted?$498
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?$458
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?$419
Will any AI model reach 1530 Math Arena Score by June 30, 2026?$378
Top Losers
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$-4,455
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?$-2,929
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$-2,185
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 31, 2026?$-1,643
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by May 22, 2026?$-1,152
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$-1,096
Will Randy Feenstra win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election?$-609
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$-519
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?$-515
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by May 31?$-489
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.169
Sortino
-0.138
HHI
193
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.138
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.5%
Top-5 markets
20.2%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
14.9
Active
Markets / Day
1.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.4h
between trades
Night Trading
29%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.85
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
16.7
Bot Detection
#635
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 376s — normal for humanCV 2.85 — diverse sizes (human-like)29% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock15 trades/day — very active1.1 markets/day — normal46% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 7:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
15.4
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)23.5%
Mid (20-55c)9.2%
High (>55c)67.3%
Sessions
#125/16/2026, 9:43:29 PM19 trades$11,2810 min
5/19/2026, 5:52:42 PM9 trades$4,1665 min
6/2/2026, 7:17:21 AM64 trades$3,83015 min
3/31/2026, 3:31:09 AM5 trades$3,5274 min
7/6/2026, 5:14:34 PM5 trades$3,0053 min
5/15/2026, 8:06:45 PM10 trades$2,9035 min
3/31/2026, 5:47:11 AM1 trades$2,7920 min
3/31/2026, 3:51:05 AM7 trades$2,5719 min
5/30/2026, 11:47:00 AM33 trades$2,3036 min
4/27/2026, 6:00:22 PM18 trades$2,1842 min
5/29/2026, 6:17:24 AM45 trades$2,13110 min
4/27/2026, 6:41:54 PM19 trades$2,0494 min
4/27/2026, 4:13:10 PM16 trades$1,9891 min
5/16/2026, 2:37:00 PM11 trades$1,9264 min
6/1/2026, 8:58:15 AM13 trades$1,9070 min
5/28/2026, 4:27:51 PM21 trades$1,9016 min
4/27/2026, 3:03:10 PM24 trades$1,8244 min
6/4/2026, 2:52:07 AM33 trades$1,81410 min
6/13/2026, 2:36:46 AM23 trades$1,8054 min
5/4/2026, 7:21:52 AM23 trades$1,7927 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-11
03-23
04-16
05-16
06-03
06-19
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 64 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
49.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 15.4/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L23.5 / M9.2 / H67.3