@presspablo
#30,573680x4c7ff4a18cdda666c4e33e6826915bdddee93afb
~16d· 24 markets · 193 tradesVol: $134,5242026-10-07 07:14:27
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
68
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
53% (10/19)11.3/20
1.91x (win $6,385 / loss $3,343)13.9/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.14815/15
Sortino 16.23410/10
$+0.0845 per $1 invested4.2/10
HHI 1268 (19 markets)6.2/10
3/11 profitable days (27%)0/10
Max DD 33% of peak ($1,499 / $4,541)7.4/10
Badges
2Profitable
PnL $+3,974
Contrarian
71% entries < $0.55
Categories
6🏛️ POLITICS#7,614$3,893Vol: $96,864
💻 TECH#3,763$247Vol: $20,403
💰 FINANCE#663,004$-746Vol: $9,204
₿ CRYPTO#35,336$689Vol: $5,774
⚽ SPORTS#74,636$281Vol: $1,279
📈 ECONOMICS#690,116$-390Vol: $1,000
Overview
#1Net PnL
$3,974
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$134,524
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
24
total markets
Trades
121B / 72S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~16d
Periods
#2Today
$55
Vol: $0
Week
$-1,793
Vol: $26,466
Month
$-1,793
Vol: $26,466
All Time
$3,974
Vol: $134,524
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
53%
10W / 9L events
Realized PnL
$3,974
Win Rate
53%
10W / 9L
Profit Factor
1.91x
Avg Win
$639
Avg Loss
$-371
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,970 (0.9991871412285492% of PnL)
Top Winners
US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?$2,575
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?$721
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?$675
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$528
US strikes Iran by January 17, 2026?$450
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?$414
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 22, 2026?$412
UFC Fight Night: Topuria vs. Almakhan (Bantamweight, Prelims)$281
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?$240
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?$90
Top Losers
Internet access restored in Iran by Friday?$-900
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $12 million?$-716
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$-574
Will any of Trump’s Greenland Tariffs go into effect by Feb 1?$-390
Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$-374
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$-159
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,500 on October 8?$-100
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?$-100
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$-30
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.207
Sortino
0.923
HHI
705
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.107
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
13.9%
Top-5 markets
55.6%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
0.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
16/24
Extended
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
44.7m
between trades
Night Trading
1%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.72
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.7
Bot Detection
#60
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 172s — normal for humanCV 2.72 — diverse sizes (human-like)1% night trades — normal pattern16/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal49% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 14:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
3.68
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)5%
Mid (20-55c)66.1%
High (>55c)28.9%
Sessions
#121/15/2026, 9:07:38 PM4 trades$16,3695 min
1/15/2026, 11:37:06 AM2 trades$7,7482 min
10/5/2026, 2:08:43 PM53 trades$5,8017 min
1/29/2026, 6:24:10 PM3 trades$3,8722 min
2/17/2026, 2:02:37 PM3 trades$3,0930 min
1/14/2026, 7:43:24 PM1 trades$2,5000 min
1/22/2026, 9:27:56 PM3 trades$2,4251 min
1/21/2026, 5:59:52 PM11 trades$1,65713 min
10/21/2025, 3:41:21 PM2 trades$1,6531 min
1/22/2026, 8:55:50 PM3 trades$1,3436 min
10/5/2026, 8:25:40 PM2 trades$1,2570 min
3/11/2026, 8:12:17 PM2 trades$1,1440 min
1/21/2026, 9:25:16 PM2 trades$9431 min
10/5/2026, 2:49:58 PM6 trades$8226 min
11/21/2025, 4:45:11 PM2 trades$7161 min
11/22/2025, 5:03:27 PM1 trades$6390 min
10/5/2026, 2:42:50 PM14 trades$4662 min
10/5/2026, 2:21:43 PM2 trades$4660 min
11/5/2025, 8:09:15 PM1 trades$4580 min
10/23/2025, 8:42:01 AM1 trades$4580 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-08
10-21
10-23
11-21
11-22
01-15
01-21
01-22
01-29
01-30
03-11
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 55 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
37.3% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.68/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L5 / M66.1 / H28.9