@0x4cFde1…7674

#184,67095

0x4cfde1f86106d32eb10c1576224dcf9ede04bef3

~11d· 20 markets · 116 tradesVol: $6,4722026-08-04 19:18:33
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

95
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

65% (11/17)17.4/20
9.04x (win $2,409 / loss $267)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 10.48615/15
Sortino 124.97710/10
$+0.5498 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 908 (17 markets)8/10
7/9 profitable days (78%)10/10
Max DD 5% of peak ($100 / $2,143)10/10

Badges

6
Sniper
Win rate 65%
Profitable
PnL $+175
DCA Master
Avg 7.7 entries/market
Consistent
7/9 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 5%
Win Streak
9 wins in a row

Categories

4
📈 ECONOMICS#8,436$194Vol: $2,359
🏛️ POLITICS#1,459,954$-48Vol: $1,982
🌤️ WEATHER#7,139$98Vol: $1,377
💰 FINANCE#625,155$-68Vol: $754

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$175
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$6,472
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
20
total markets
Trades
52B / 64S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~11d

Periods

#2
Today
$14
Vol: $0
Week
$41
Vol: $0
Month
$50
Vol: $0
All Time
$175
Vol: $6,472

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
63%
10W / 6L events
Realized PnL
$175
Win Rate
63%
10W / 6L
Profit Factor
9.04x
Avg Win
$219
Avg Loss
$-53

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,687 (9.628388790594146% of PnL)

Top Winners

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$1,131
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$279
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$276
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$204
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$138
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$117
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$110
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?$101
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$24
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?$18

Top Losers

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?$-124
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?$-85
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?$-44
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?$-10
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-5

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.517
Sortino
5.992
HHI
1036
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.535
Kelly %
18.6%
Half-Kelly
9.3%
Top-1 market
19.1%
Top-5 markets
61.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
10/24
Normal
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.4h
between trades
Night Trading
33%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.97
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
13
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.9

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 62s — normal for humanCV 0.97 — diverse sizes (human-like)33% night trades — never sleeps10/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal37% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.71
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)5.8%
Mid (20-55c)25%
High (>55c)69.2%

Sessions

#12
7/27/2026, 3:33:33 AM16 trades$1,1613 min
6/15/2026, 1:45:30 AM10 trades$9494 min
6/2/2026, 8:06:44 PM10 trades$9473 min
4/30/2026, 5:46:18 PM15 trades$8783 min
5/30/2026, 7:14:32 PM10 trades$8674 min
4/23/2026, 1:47:24 PM8 trades$5404 min
5/4/2026, 6:10:08 PM9 trades$5271 min
4/19/2026, 3:19:58 PM13 trades$4716 min
4/22/2026, 6:25:38 PM4 trades$3921 min
5/17/2026, 5:46:06 AM5 trades$3211 min
4/24/2026, 12:15:46 AM7 trades$2172 min
4/22/2026, 6:18:54 PM2 trades$780 min
6/15/2026, 7:20:43 PM7 trades$731 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-22
04-23
04-24
04-30
05-04
05-17
06-02
06-15
07-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 1 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
55.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.71/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L5.8 / M25 / H69.2