@0x4d022a…4371

81

0x4d022a249664e3da66b1b8278f629d974799a5be

~91d· 601 markets · 2634 trades2026-10-08 02:15:26
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

81
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

72% (432/600)20/20
1.17x (win $885 / loss $758)4.6/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.07915/15
Sortino 7.60410/10
$+0.0218 per $1 invested1.1/10
HHI 27 (600 markets)10/10
66/80 profitable days (82%)10/10
Max DD 19% of peak ($31 / $157)10/10

Badges

6
Sniper
Win rate 72%
Profitable
PnL $+79
Consistent
66/80 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 19%
Win Streak
22 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$79
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$5,808
Total Redeem
$73
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
601
total markets
Trades
1647B / 987S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~91d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
72%
432W / 168L events
Realized PnL
$79
Win Rate
72%
432W / 168L
Profit Factor
1.17x
Avg Win
$2
Avg Loss
$-6

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $90 (1.128934777134223% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$42
Ethereum Up or Down - March 6, 9PM ET$26
XRP Up or Down - March 6, 10AM ET$22
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET$17
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$15
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET$15
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET$14
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET$13
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET$13
Solana Up or Down - March 6, 10AM ET$11

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 2AM ET$-17
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$-16
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on July 8?$-15
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $630 Week of July 13 2026?$-15
Ethereum Up or Down - March 6, 6PM ET$-12
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $105 Week of August 17 2026?$-12
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $465 in July?$-12
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 9PM ET$-11
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET$-11
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET$-11

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.160
Sortino
0.213
HHI
24
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.021
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.6%
Top-5 markets
3.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
15.7
Active
Markets / Day
3.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
20s
between trades
Avg Gap
49.9m
between trades
Night Trading
25%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.09
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
11 min
Avg Trades / Session
35.2

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 20s — normal for humanCV 1.09 — diverse sizes (human-like)25% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock16 trades/day — very active3.6 markets/day — normal16% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.58
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.6%
Mid (20-55c)46.2%
High (>55c)52.2%

Sessions

#12
3/6/2026, 5:22:41 PM286 trades$37372 min
3/6/2026, 2:06:39 AM96 trades$24657 min
3/7/2026, 9:15:07 AM144 trades$22144 min
3/7/2026, 2:29:43 AM56 trades$16922 min
3/6/2026, 10:28:27 PM112 trades$13134 min
3/7/2026, 6:32:45 AM119 trades$13038 min
3/6/2026, 7:30:09 PM84 trades$12233 min
3/6/2026, 3:21:31 PM79 trades$11619 min
7/30/2026, 1:30:15 PM16 trades$1102 min
3/6/2026, 2:40:21 PM52 trades$10035 min
3/6/2026, 2:12:27 PM59 trades$8819 min
3/6/2026, 8:42:49 AM62 trades$8713 min
3/6/2026, 8:21:27 PM58 trades$7119 min
3/6/2026, 4:50:55 AM11 trades$713 min
7/29/2026, 7:30:18 PM12 trades$640 min
3/6/2026, 4:12:03 PM33 trades$6425 min
5/28/2026, 9:50:55 AM6 trades$638 min
3/6/2026, 6:45:11 PM53 trades$575 min
7/29/2026, 4:47:21 AM8 trades$550 min
3/6/2026, 3:45:35 PM15 trades$548 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-06
04-07
05-10
06-17
07-10
07-29
08-19

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 44 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
2% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
37.5% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.58/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L1.6 / M46.2 / H52.2