@flagsincircle

#112,63947

0x4d158cd285e66b004835997ff0d89ac4d4cf78db

~56d· 762 markets · 3194 tradesVol: $103,9982026-08-04 18:53:48
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

47
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

4% (29/661)0/20
1.21x (win $848 / loss $703)5.1/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.91615/15
Sortino 3.51910/10
$+0.1400 per $1 invested7/10
HHI 178 (661 markets)10/10
8/53 profitable days (15%)0/10
Max DD 68% of peak ($301 / $439)0.3/10

Badges

5
Profitable
PnL $+532
Lottery Player
62% entries < $0.20
Diamond Hands
4% sells
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
96% maker orders

Categories

8
🌤️ WEATHER#4,758$205Vol: $50,265
⚽ SPORTS#66,870$350Vol: $29,861
🏛️ POLITICS#1,497,972$-76Vol: $9,518
🎭 CULTURE#542,454$-1Vol: $7,277
💰 FINANCE#591,630$-18Vol: $3,686
💻 TECH#9,278$42Vol: $829
₿ CRYPTO#902,610$-1Vol: $555
📈 ECONOMICS#90,753$2Vol: $363

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$532
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$103,998
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
762
total markets
Trades
3053B / 141S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~56d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $637
Week
$-345
Vol: $4,618
Month
$-27
Vol: $7,262
All Time
$532
Vol: $103,998

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
4%
29W / 632L events
Realized PnL
$532
Win Rate
4%
29W / 632L
Profit Factor
1.21x
Avg Win
$29
Avg Loss
$-1

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $528 (0.9931151241534989% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 15?$265
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on June 19?$168
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 15?$95
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 20?$88
Chicago Cubs winning after 5 innings?$53
Will Khamenei post 5-9 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?$33
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on June 19?$22
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on June 16?$21
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?$18
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 27?$11

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 20?$-32
Will Bud Cauley win the 2026 RBC Canadian Open?$-19
Will London have 80mm or more of precipitation in June?$-14
Will Cape Verde be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?$-14
Will CDT RealOruro win on 2026-06-21?$-12
Will AD Municipal Pérez Zeledón win on 2026-07-24?$-12
Will Ted Cruz post 80-99 posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$-10
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 19?$-10
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?$-10
Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 2 DR Congo?$-9

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.048
Sortino
0.226
HHI
118
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.155
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.9%
Top-5 markets
17.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
57.0
Very active
Markets / Day
13.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
36.1m
between trades
Night Trading
25%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.88
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.3

Bot Detection

#6
70
BOT (automated trading)HIGH probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 306s — normal for humanCV 2.88 — diverse sizes (human-like)25% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock57 trades/day — mass trading14 markets/day — mass coverage96% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 7:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.41
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)62.1%
Mid (20-55c)0.1%
High (>55c)37.8%

Sessions

#12
6/15/2026, 4:50:55 AM16 trades$7423 min
6/22/2026, 6:18:17 AM2 trades$530 min
6/18/2026, 1:34:40 AM6 trades$300 min
6/18/2026, 5:48:56 PM5 trades$284 min
6/18/2026, 1:45:34 AM1 trades$230 min
6/17/2026, 1:50:52 AM9 trades$170 min
6/17/2026, 11:48:02 PM5 trades$142 min
7/17/2026, 6:55:06 PM2 trades$130 min
7/8/2026, 11:09:46 PM7 trades$131 min
7/25/2026, 3:32:24 AM1 trades$120 min
7/30/2026, 7:35:33 PM4 trades$110 min
6/27/2026, 1:50:25 AM21 trades$1118 min
7/25/2026, 3:45:31 PM1 trades$100 min
6/30/2026, 1:04:11 AM1 trades$100 min
6/20/2026, 6:51:05 AM12 trades$921 min
6/24/2026, 10:49:47 PM6 trades$91 min
6/17/2026, 7:40:52 PM26 trades$933 min
6/19/2026, 7:40:07 AM28 trades$922 min
6/17/2026, 6:18:20 PM9 trades$95 min
6/30/2026, 7:58:38 PM4 trades$90 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-10
06-18
06-26
07-04
07-14
07-22
07-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 43 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
42% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
4.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.41/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L62.1 / M0.1 / H37.8