@0x4d1e…e714

#2,233,47935

0x4d1e7f7ab98bee32b09b1cdf5c5159e73922e714

~48d· 70 markets · 252 tradesVol: $2,1842026-10-06 15:28:56
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

35
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

64% (18/28)17.1/20
0.63x (win $75 / loss $118)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.8640/15
Sortino -4.8690/10
$-0.0505 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 599 (28 markets)9.5/10
12/19 profitable days (63%)8.3/10
Max DD 429% of peak ($57 / $13)0/10

Badges

3
Sniper
Win rate 64%
Consistent
12/19 profitable days
Win Streak
9 wins in a row

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#1,395,167$-21Vol: $1,624
⚽ SPORTS#445,209$1Vol: $372
📈 ECONOMICS#587,388$-6Vol: $108
🎭 CULTURE#171,436$1Vol: $52
₿ CRYPTO#838,734$-1Vol: $24
💰 FINANCE#513,339$-2Vol: $5

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-29
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,184
Total Redeem
$86
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
70
total markets
Trades
123B / 129S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~48d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-9
Vol: $306
All Time
$-29
Vol: $2,184

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
64%
18W / 10L events
Realized PnL
$-23
Win Rate
64%
18W / 10L
Profit Factor
0.63x
Avg Win
$4
Avg Loss
$-20

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $34 (1.4838568935427576% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$14
Will Therese Terlaje win the 2026 Guam Governor Democratic primary election?$11
Will Morocco be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?$9
Will Norway be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?$8
Will England be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?$7
Will France be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?$5
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance$4
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?$4
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$4
Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?$3

Top Losers

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?$-30
Will Donald Trump visit South Dakota in 2026?$-24
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$-17
Will Marine Le Pen win her appeal to lift ineligibility ban in 2026?$-17
Will Auyl win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?$-16
Will Jordan Bardella be the National Rally’s candidate for the 2027 French Presidential election?$-14

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.248
Sortino
-0.227
HHI
166
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.094
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.4%
Top-5 markets
23.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.8h
between trades
Avg Gap
5.3h
between trades
Night Trading
16%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.53
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.2

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
MEDIUM
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 9922s — normal for humanCV 0.53 — diverse sizes (human-like)16% night trades — unusual hours21/24 hours — extended activity3 trades/day — normal0.8 markets/day — normal49% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.75
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)8.1%
Mid (20-55c)4.9%
High (>55c)87%

Sessions

#12
9/16/2026, 9:30:06 PM36 trades$1671 min
6/25/2026, 12:44:40 AM17 trades$675 min
7/6/2026, 8:11:19 AM4 trades$430 min
8/17/2026, 8:53:54 PM2 trades$380 min
6/24/2026, 8:32:17 PM4 trades$320 min
6/26/2026, 1:24:43 AM2 trades$320 min
9/3/2026, 4:15:55 PM4 trades$311 min
7/2/2026, 1:43:25 PM2 trades$280 min
6/24/2026, 6:30:07 PM2 trades$230 min
7/19/2026, 10:32:22 PM4 trades$230 min
6/24/2026, 1:11:11 PM2 trades$210 min
7/14/2026, 9:12:05 PM2 trades$210 min
8/26/2026, 11:38:12 AM2 trades$210 min
7/4/2026, 10:16:02 AM2 trades$200 min
7/7/2026, 11:53:46 AM6 trades$202 min
7/3/2026, 1:35:13 AM2 trades$190 min
6/24/2026, 5:49:22 PM2 trades$190 min
8/9/2026, 1:08:54 AM2 trades$190 min
8/9/2026, 9:51:01 AM2 trades$190 min
7/6/2026, 9:35:26 PM2 trades$190 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-24
06-28
07-05
07-11
07-20
08-04
08-24

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 50 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
51.2% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.75/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L8.1 / M4.9 / H87