ValdeMURRR

@ValdeMURRR

#2,824,13138

0x4d2ff8cab94e28be5b08da004d122053ce2b61ee

~144d· 364 markets · 1190 tradesVol: $100,292 @ValdeMURRR_GS2026-08-02 07:57:15
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

38
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

72% (227/314)20/20
0.61x (win $2,513 / loss $4,091)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.3340/15
Sortino -3.6900/10
$-0.0441 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 282 (314 markets)10/10
50/80 profitable days (62%)8.1/10
Max DD 1372% of peak ($1,805 / $132)0/10

Badges

4
Sniper
Win rate 72%
Consistent
50/80 profitable days
Win Streak
15 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

6
CRYPTO#1,538,595$-215Vol: $90,639
💰 FINANCE#622,237$-62Vol: $2,569
🏛️ POLITICS#54,989$135Vol: $2,039
💻 TECH#18,717$9Vol: $120
🎭 CULTURE#757,457$-46Vol: $88
📈 ECONOMICS#213,870$0Vol: $55

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-421
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$100,292
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
364
total markets
Trades
813B / 377S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~144d

Periods

#2
Today
$51
Vol: $0
Week
$778
Vol: $0
Month
$355
Vol: $0
All Time
$-421
Vol: $100,292

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
72%
227W / 87L events
Realized PnL
$-421
Win Rate
72%
227W / 87L
Profit Factor
0.61x
Avg Win
$11
Avg Loss
$-72

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $722 (1.7147570557098435% of PnL)

Top Winners

Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?$265
Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30?$258
Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?$200
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$143
Will Legacy qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs?$127
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$126
Will FURIA reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?$86
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO3)$85
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3$84
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$79

Top Losers

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?$-506
Will Natus Vincere qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs?$-475
Will 9z qualify to the IEM Cologne 2026 playoffs?$-440
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?$-260
Lighter FDV above $3B one day after launch?$-250
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?$-213
Backpack FDV above $3B one day after launch?$-202
Will Ethereum hit $4,500.00 by March 31?$-169
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$-148
Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?$-146

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.173
Sortino
-0.147
HHI
92
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.074
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7%
Top-5 markets
15%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.9h
between trades
Night Trading
19%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.80
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.9

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 138s — normal for humanCV 1.80 — diverse sizes (human-like)19% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.6 markets/day — normal36% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.2
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)6.2%
Mid (20-55c)16.7%
High (>55c)77.1%

Sessions

#12
3/17/2026, 2:44:03 PM3 trades$1,2241 min
4/6/2026, 9:10:11 AM16 trades$1,2010 min
6/26/2026, 11:39:55 AM51 trades$1,06719 min
12/27/2024, 12:16:44 PM12 trades$1,05014 min
11/26/2025, 9:48:11 AM5 trades$9802 min
5/18/2026, 11:37:16 PM18 trades$8845 min
7/2/2026, 11:20:32 AM10 trades$8462 min
3/23/2026, 9:00:07 PM3 trades$8305 min
11/17/2025, 2:21:49 AM2 trades$8281 min
5/16/2026, 9:45:47 PM1 trades$7920 min
5/23/2026, 12:27:46 AM6 trades$7371 min
4/2/2026, 2:28:45 AM12 trades$6863 min
5/31/2026, 2:06:39 PM4 trades$6780 min
7/2/2026, 7:51:35 AM10 trades$6705 min
4/2/2026, 2:13:51 AM26 trades$6536 min
7/1/2026, 5:50:44 PM7 trades$6431 min
1/17/2025, 2:38:43 PM8 trades$64112 min
6/28/2026, 1:16:47 AM4 trades$5840 min
3/4/2026, 3:30:47 PM1 trades$5640 min
12/29/2025, 6:37:57 PM6 trades$5357 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-03
12-31
01-31
11-10
12-13
03-26
06-18

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 540 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
31.7% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.2/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L6.2 / M16.7 / H77.1