@bitcoinmafia

64

0x4d3e6f882536f5bde89d20a64e2198b1c1e8783b

~180d· 1175 markets · 12285 trades2026-08-02 08:58:08
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

64
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

58% (677/1158)14.2/20
1.21x (win $494,909 / loss $409,733)5.1/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.45115/15
Sortino 3.08010/10
$+0.0608 per $1 invested3/10
HHI 86 (1158 markets)10/10
78/135 profitable days (58%)6.9/10
Max DD 92% of peak ($79,692 / $86,982)0/10

Badges

8
Profitable
PnL $+12,996
Contrarian
68% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 10.3 entries/market
Whale
$1,401,457 invested
High Roller
$2,878/day
Win Streak
16 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
84% maker orders

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$12,996
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,401,457
Total Redeem
$33,133
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1175
total markets
Trades
9461B / 2824S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~180d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
58%
677W / 481L events
Realized PnL
$12,996
Win Rate
58%
677W / 481L
Profit Factor
1.21x
Avg Win
$731
Avg Loss
$-857

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $129,001 (9.926428312003301% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?$62,940
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?$39,128
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?$26,933
Will Australia win?$17,741
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?$9,211
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?$7,458
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?$6,611
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?$6,278
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in November?$6,012
ILT20: Dubai Capitals vs Sharjah Warriorz (Game 1)$5,950

Top Losers

SA20: MI Cape Town vs Pretoria Capitals (Game 1) - Most Sixes Pretoria Capitals Winner$-28,500
SA20: MI Cape Town vs Pretoria Capitals (Game 1) - Team Top Batter Pretoria Capitals Winner$-13,500
Will India win?$-8,924
ICC WWC: South Africa vs. Sri Lanka$-8,400
ILT20: Abu Dhabi Knight Riders vs Sharjah Warriorz (Game 1)$-6,280
T20 World Cup: India vs South Africa$-6,250
T20 World Cup: Australia vs Sri Lanka (Game 1)$-6,085
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$-5,836
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?$-5,114
Will Bitcoin dip to $94,000 November 10-16?$-5,100

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.076
Sortino
0.131
HHI
67
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.064
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.1%
Top-5 markets
14.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
25.2
Active
Markets / Day
2.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
58s
between trades
Avg Gap
32.7m
between trades
Night Trading
6%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.34
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.6

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 58s — normal for humanCV 4.34 — diverse sizes (human-like)6% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock25 trades/day — high frequency2.4 markets/day — normal84% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
10.34
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)3.7%
Mid (20-55c)64.6%
High (>55c)31.7%

Sessions

#12
12/31/2025, 6:21:03 PM2 trades$28,9522 min
12/31/2025, 11:06:19 AM2 trades$28,5001 min
4/9/2026, 6:32:33 AM56 trades$21,65013 min
12/31/2025, 6:48:55 AM1 trades$15,7980 min
4/7/2026, 11:29:27 PM18 trades$13,6849 min
12/31/2025, 6:41:45 PM1 trades$13,5000 min
4/15/2026, 8:12:48 PM14 trades$11,7940 min
2/12/2026, 9:59:17 AM10 trades$11,6645 min
11/20/2025, 8:36:35 PM1 trades$11,6000 min
6/23/2026, 7:51:35 AM10 trades$10,9283 min
6/4/2026, 9:38:30 AM4 trades$10,5630 min
4/7/2026, 10:40:43 PM40 trades$10,39926 min
2/16/2026, 11:27:43 AM9 trades$9,9703 min
2/16/2026, 12:13:05 PM13 trades$9,77011 min
2/12/2026, 6:37:33 AM1 trades$9,7000 min
1/31/2026, 3:18:26 PM26 trades$9,7006 min
12/31/2025, 10:56:19 AM1 trades$9,5000 min
12/24/2025, 2:16:43 PM1 trades$9,4500 min
2/6/2026, 12:53:59 AM2 trades$9,2181 min
5/12/2026, 5:15:42 PM2 trades$8,6000 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-15
12-06
01-20
02-13
03-08
04-04
05-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
23% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 10.34/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L3.7 / M64.6 / H31.7