@slobber

#30,3058

0x4d417fb3c36b435dd5ba5f038c42ca70890b6aca

~35d· 39 markets · 715 tradesVol: $268,4302026-08-02 07:59:45
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

8
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

29% (9/31)0/20
0.20x (win $8,256 / loss $41,646)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.9520/15
Sortino -5.7960/10
$-0.5579 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1158 (31 markets)6.7/10
7/20 profitable days (35%)1.2/10
Max DD 1258% of peak ($36,716 / $2,919)0/10

Badges

3
Profitable
PnL $+4,000
Contrarian
57% entries < $0.55
Whale
$59,850 invested

Categories

4
🏛️ POLITICS#16,077$1,194Vol: $144,525
💰 FINANCE#656,222$-3,647Vol: $64,901
SPORTS#8,346$5,613Vol: $54,619
📈 ECONOMICS#3,342$887Vol: $3,921

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$4,000
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$268,430
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
39
total markets
Trades
103B / 612S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~35d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$66
Vol: $0
Month
$226
Vol: $6,843
All Time
$4,000
Vol: $268,430

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
29%
9W / 22L events
Realized PnL
$4,000
Win Rate
29%
9W / 22L
Profit Factor
0.2x
Avg Win
$917
Avg Loss
$-2,192

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $5,626 (1.4063585072156908% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$3,846
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$947
Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?$833
Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?$793
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?$776
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?$360
Will Roberto Mancini be the next head coach of the Italian National Soccer Team?$306
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?$284
Will Andrea Pirlo be the next head coach of the Italian National Soccer Team?$111

Top Losers

Starmer out by July 31, 2026?$-14,414
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?$-5,907
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$-5,237
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-4,176
Starmer out by August 31, 2026?$-3,469
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?$-3,111
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?$-1,119
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?$-1,000
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?$-1,000
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-800

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.304
Sortino
-0.247
HHI
1071
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.619
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
19.9%
Top-5 markets
65.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
7.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
4.1h
between trades
Night Trading
4%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.12
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
14.3

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 409s — normal for humanCV 2.12 — diverse sizes (human-like)4% night trades — normal pattern19/24 hours — extended activity7 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal10% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
17.29
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)26.2%
Mid (20-55c)31.1%
High (>55c)42.7%

Sessions

#12
6/19/2026, 5:01:43 PM87 trades$21,7651 min
7/19/2026, 7:08:39 PM21 trades$13,3770 min
7/14/2026, 4:09:01 PM37 trades$9,3740 min
6/16/2026, 8:43:25 AM4 trades$8,3330 min
7/14/2026, 4:15:50 PM43 trades$7,3310 min
6/17/2026, 5:19:34 PM23 trades$5,1430 min
5/11/2026, 9:09:02 AM16 trades$5,0864 min
6/22/2026, 5:43:20 PM23 trades$5,0110 min
8/1/2026, 6:38:20 AM45 trades$4,9420 min
4/24/2026, 5:44:42 PM45 trades$4,7416 min
6/16/2026, 10:36:55 AM16 trades$4,3080 min
6/22/2026, 7:10:59 PM10 trades$4,1670 min
6/17/2026, 5:13:16 PM16 trades$3,9520 min
6/11/2026, 8:30:57 PM18 trades$3,7014 min
7/27/2026, 2:26:19 PM17 trades$3,4402 min
6/15/2026, 5:30:39 AM3 trades$2,1700 min
7/10/2026, 11:39:47 AM18 trades$2,1465 min
6/12/2026, 8:51:42 AM21 trades$1,8693 min
7/30/2026, 8:36:54 PM2 trades$1,5750 min
7/25/2026, 1:25:57 PM18 trades$1,4020 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-24
06-12
06-18
06-23
07-04
07-14
07-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 32 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
85.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 17.29/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L26.2 / M31.1 / H42.7