@segroyeet

#250,1362

0x4d5ab9a5e649099873988ff614ba479be65edf2d

~10d· 6 markets · 47 tradesVol: $16,2592026-08-26 03:54:47
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

2
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

33% (2/6)1.7/20
0.04x (win $106 / loss $3,016)0/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0000/15
Sortino 0.0000/10
$-0.4324 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 5406 (6 markets)0/10
2/6 profitable days (33%)0.8/10
Max DD 36836% of peak ($2,917 / $8)0/10

Badges

1
Profitable
PnL $+95

Categories

3
🏛️ POLITICS#63,079$105Vol: $16,018
CRYPTO#1,054,545$-5Vol: $125
🎭 CULTURE#642,979$-5Vol: $116

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$95
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$16,259
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
6
total markets
Trades
12B / 35S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~10d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
33%
2W / 4L events
Realized PnL
$95
Win Rate
33%
2W / 4L
Profit Factor
0.04x
Avg Win
$53
Avg Loss
$-1,508

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $106 (1.1192206424433913% of PnL)

Top Winners

US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$98
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 8, 2026?$8

Top Losers

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-2,825
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?$-191

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.422
Sortino
-0.260
HHI
16890
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.242
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
126.1%
Top-5 markets
178.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
9/24
Normal
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.3h
between trades
Avg Gap
8.6h
between trades
Night Trading
4%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.29
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
12
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.9

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 15480s — normal for humanCV 1.29 — diverse sizes (human-like)4% night trades — normal pattern9/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal26% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
12.5
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)8.3%
Mid (20-55c)8.3%
High (>55c)83.3%

Sessions

#12
5/9/2026, 4:13:32 AM2 trades$4,2830 min
5/8/2026, 3:46:05 PM7 trades$4,1140 min
5/26/2026, 9:02:18 PM2 trades$1,0040 min
6/14/2026, 9:52:22 PM4 trades$8410 min
5/27/2026, 1:13:40 PM11 trades$6540 min
6/11/2026, 6:10:33 PM5 trades$5850 min
6/1/2026, 7:34:15 AM2 trades$5030 min
6/14/2026, 5:34:22 PM2 trades$4000 min
5/16/2026, 4:42:22 PM6 trades$2520 min
5/17/2026, 5:43:55 PM2 trades$1650 min
5/19/2026, 8:06:31 PM2 trades$330 min
5/19/2026, 9:26:58 PM2 trades$230 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-09
05-17
05-19
05-26
06-01
06-14

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 36 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
74.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 12.5/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L8.3 / M8.3 / H83.3