@Convex79

10

0x4d86949e352449ab09706267910a0e8b6d4e1cb2

~102d· 615 markets · 15477 trades2026-08-02 05:20:06
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

9% (40/448)0/20
0.48x (win $92,561 / loss $193,124)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.9650/15
Sortino -5.0310/10
$-0.2825 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 170 (448 markets)10/10
12/88 profitable days (14%)0/10
Max DD 455% of peak ($128,922 / $28,360)0/10

Badges

6
Profitable
PnL $+798
Lottery Player
34% entries < $0.20
Whale
$355,967 invested
High Roller
$3,490/day
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
89% maker orders

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$798
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$355,967
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
615
total markets
Trades
12221B / 3256S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~102d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
9%
40W / 407L events
Realized PnL
$798
Win Rate
9%
40W / 407L
Profit Factor
0.48x
Avg Win
$2,314
Avg Loss
$-475

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $46,923 (58.80788560113295% of PnL)

Top Winners

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$23,274
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$12,113
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$11,536
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$8,720
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$7,676
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?$6,959
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?$4,903
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$3,855
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$3,832
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?$2,572

Top Losers

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-13,027
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$-11,469
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-7,257
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?$-7,199
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$-6,973
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$-6,151
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?$-5,309
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?$-4,916
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$-4,760
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?$-4,587

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.206
Sortino
-0.273
HHI
122
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.343
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.5%
Top-5 markets
17%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
151.7
Very active
Markets / Day
6.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
11.4m
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.84
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
39 min
Avg Trades / Session
57.5

Bot Detection

#6
65
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 108s — normal for humanCV 1.84 — diverse sizes (human-like)20% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock152 trades/day — automation6.0 markets/day — normal89% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
26.73
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)34.1%
Mid (20-55c)16.9%
High (>55c)49.1%

Sessions

#12
4/25/2026, 5:22:42 PM203 trades$12,214124 min
6/18/2026, 2:45:34 PM21 trades$8,8799 min
4/28/2026, 12:44:46 PM236 trades$7,262120 min
5/23/2026, 1:36:33 PM62 trades$7,22522 min
4/24/2026, 1:18:24 PM165 trades$6,74395 min
4/27/2026, 1:04:20 PM52 trades$6,71233 min
4/24/2026, 10:44:10 AM201 trades$6,606123 min
5/12/2026, 6:25:56 PM31 trades$6,5068 min
4/26/2026, 12:22:22 PM167 trades$4,689113 min
5/4/2026, 10:03:10 AM105 trades$4,51483 min
4/25/2026, 4:48:56 PM74 trades$4,02029 min
4/24/2026, 3:35:14 PM87 trades$3,41751 min
5/4/2026, 4:51:26 PM99 trades$3,24962 min
5/4/2026, 2:43:54 PM77 trades$2,97564 min
4/24/2026, 8:58:34 PM80 trades$2,97234 min
5/4/2026, 5:59:24 PM73 trades$2,91274 min
4/27/2026, 3:24:42 PM74 trades$2,66061 min
5/1/2026, 2:28:36 PM67 trades$2,55568 min
5/23/2026, 9:14:21 PM23 trades$2,55422 min
5/12/2026, 10:09:35 PM11 trades$2,5527 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-24
05-09
05-27
06-15
06-30
07-14
07-30
08-02

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 85 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
21% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 26.73/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L34.1 / M16.9 / H49.1