@0x4dc3…4702

#415,66016

0x4dc3abdf5035e9952d7efaa55934daa457d14702

~64d· 63 markets · 365 tradesVol: $1,4612026-08-25 14:27:57
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

16
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

40% (19/48)4.8/20
0.57x (win $90 / loss $159)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.1040/15
Sortino -2.2250/10
$-0.1232 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 643 (48 markets)9.3/10
13/35 profitable days (37%)1.8/10
Max DD 618% of peak ($127 / $21)0/10

Badges

3
Profitable
PnL $+21
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
71% maker orders

Categories

4
💻 TECH#12,382$24Vol: $796
💰 FINANCE#565,103$-7Vol: $370
🏛️ POLITICS#1,177,663$-6Vol: $184
🎭 CULTURE#70,587$9Vol: $111

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$21
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,461
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
63
total markets
Trades
258B / 107S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~64d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $0
Month
$-20
Vol: $104
All Time
$21
Vol: $1,461

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
40%
19W / 29L events
Realized PnL
$21
Win Rate
40%
19W / 29L
Profit Factor
0.57x
Avg Win
$5
Avg Loss
$-6

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $47 (2.2955426356589146% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1450?$24
Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Exam?$12
Will Abigail Anderson be one of Taylor Swift's bridesmaids?$12
Will a new Gemini flagship be released by June 30, 2026?$11
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1480?$6
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470?$5
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?$4
Gemini 3.5 released by July 31?$3
Will any other model be the best AI model on August 10, 2026?$2
Will the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1500?$2

Top Losers

Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?$-87
Will Claude 5 be released by September 30, 2026?$-22
Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026?$-9
Internet Access restored in Iran by September 30, 2026?$-5
Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$-5
Will any OpenAI GPT model score at least 70% on the FrontierMath Exam?$-5
Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?$-4
Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?$-3
Will any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?$-3
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?$-3

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.108
Sortino
-0.093
HHI
464
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.151
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
12%
Top-5 markets
40.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
4:00 UTC
Median Gap
26.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.6h
between trades
Night Trading
38%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.42
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.0

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1610s — normal for humanCV 1.42 — diverse sizes (human-like)38% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal0.6 markets/day — normal71% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 4:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)12.8%
Mid (20-55c)35.3%
High (>55c)51.9%

Sessions

#12
5/8/2026, 4:02:15 AM13 trades$315 min
5/18/2026, 6:11:26 AM3 trades$300 min
5/28/2026, 6:40:28 AM2 trades$300 min
7/4/2026, 2:26:43 AM2 trades$200 min
5/28/2026, 9:02:11 AM2 trades$180 min
5/7/2026, 8:54:42 PM2 trades$170 min
5/8/2026, 4:12:40 AM10 trades$165 min
7/8/2026, 2:45:23 AM2 trades$160 min
5/26/2026, 1:20:54 PM2 trades$161 min
5/26/2026, 12:45:52 AM3 trades$152 min
7/1/2026, 1:08:32 PM4 trades$151 min
7/1/2026, 12:58:41 PM5 trades$130 min
8/13/2026, 10:50:54 AM2 trades$130 min
5/7/2026, 4:59:35 PM2 trades$120 min
5/7/2026, 5:17:10 AM2 trades$110 min
7/4/2026, 8:59:56 PM6 trades$116 min
8/3/2026, 10:39:56 PM3 trades$101 min
5/20/2026, 4:59:42 PM3 trades$100 min
4/30/2026, 7:06:40 PM2 trades$100 min
6/27/2026, 1:11:31 AM2 trades$100 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-28
05-11
05-18
06-05
06-13
07-01
07-10

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 19 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
29.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L12.8 / M35.3 / H51.9