@0x4dd83e…5851

#28,12196

0x4dd83e7768353f3a2271ce4ee16b596236189b58

~56d· 97 markets · 272 tradesVol: $150,8932026-08-02 19:57:36
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

96
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

73% (67/92)20/20
2.61x (win $10,308 / loss $3,957)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.14115/15
Sortino 15.34010/10
$+0.1653 per $1 invested8.3/10
HHI 745 (92 markets)8.8/10
36/48 profitable days (75%)10/10
Max DD 26% of peak ($1,653 / $6,351)8.8/10

Badges

5
Sniper
Win rate 73%
Profitable
PnL $+4,398
Consistent
36/48 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 26%
Win Streak
9 wins in a row

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#6,220$5,086Vol: $69,092
SPORTS#1,620,706$-62Vol: $32,602
🎭 CULTURE#807,635$-679Vol: $22,178
💰 FINANCE#13,756$165Vol: $13,712
💻 TECH#6,448$87Vol: $5,592
CRYPTO#76,516$142Vol: $5,235
📈 ECONOMICS#14,554$76Vol: $1,404
🌤️ WEATHER#294,256$-416Vol: $453

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$4,398
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$150,893
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
97
total markets
Trades
120B / 152S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~56d

Periods

#2
Today
$2
Vol: $0
Week
$652
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$4,398
Vol: $150,893

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
73%
67W / 25L events
Realized PnL
$4,398
Win Rate
73%
67W / 25L
Profit Factor
2.61x
Avg Win
$154
Avg Loss
$-172

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $6,456 (1.468031452375755% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?$4,011
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$1,712
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$733
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 14?$361
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 7?$353
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$344
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$263
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?$240
Will Franco Parisi endorse no candidate for President of Chile?$179
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?$174

Top Losers

Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?$-965
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?$-500
Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?$-441
Will fewer than 1550 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?$-416
Will Gemini 3.0 be released on November 18 2025?$-300
Will there be at least 600 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026?$-300
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-200
Will Mexico win Miss Universe 2025?$-173
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$-119
Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?$-100

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.214
Sortino
0.509
HHI
503
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.171
Kelly %
19.3%
Half-Kelly
9.7%
Top-1 market
19%
Top-5 markets
34.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
0:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.4h
between trades
Night Trading
36%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.62
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.6

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 314s — normal for humanCV 1.62 — diverse sizes (human-like)36% night trades — never sleeps20/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal6% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 0:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.58
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)12.5%
Mid (20-55c)10%
High (>55c)77.5%

Sessions

#12
11/17/2025, 12:14:23 PM1 trades$11,3100 min
11/1/2025, 12:25:33 AM1 trades$5,0000 min
11/7/2025, 5:00:35 PM2 trades$3,4031 min
11/8/2025, 3:13:01 PM3 trades$2,9472 min
11/3/2025, 3:54:49 PM2 trades$2,6810 min
11/11/2025, 3:50:34 PM2 trades$2,3061 min
11/10/2025, 12:02:22 PM2 trades$2,2921 min
1/14/2026, 2:09:38 AM5 trades$1,8655 min
11/9/2025, 2:27:39 PM3 trades$1,8051 min
1/12/2026, 9:57:21 PM5 trades$1,6264 min
7/21/2026, 12:35:36 AM21 trades$1,4982 min
7/14/2026, 7:27:10 PM21 trades$1,3660 min
1/18/2026, 8:19:22 PM2 trades$1,3211 min
12/31/2025, 1:49:03 PM3 trades$1,1891 min
2/1/2026, 9:57:38 AM2 trades$1,1471 min
6/27/2026, 10:01:56 PM10 trades$1,1211 min
7/30/2026, 11:15:50 PM10 trades$1,1000 min
1/19/2026, 8:33:32 AM1 trades$1,0470 min
7/4/2026, 3:23:50 AM6 trades$1,0130 min
11/1/2025, 12:36:53 AM1 trades$9880 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-03
12-01
12-20
01-04
01-19
02-03

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 174 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
55.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.58/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L12.5 / M10 / H77.5