@0x4e84…ef69

#46,99967

0x4e84ce1599d3d0272932a729c2a3310b734bef69

~279d· 384 markets · 70775 tradesVol: $4,461,5952026-08-04 17:19:23
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

67
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

61% (207/339)15.5/20
1.31x (win $61,624 / loss $47,068)6.4/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.74814/15
Sortino 1.52510/10
$+0.0247 per $1 invested1.2/10
HHI 341 (339 markets)10/10
81/129 profitable days (63%)8.2/10
Max DD 62% of peak ($23,341 / $37,898)1.7/10

Badges

9
Sniper
Win rate 61%
Profitable
PnL $+2,284
DCA Master
Avg 238.6 entries/market
Whale
$589,554 invested
Consistent
81/129 profitable days
High Roller
$1,985/day
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
99% maker orders

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#12,778$1,716Vol: $4,169,638
🎭 CULTURE#6,461$688Vol: $144,695
💰 FINANCE#636,861$-130Vol: $69,865
💻 TECH#7,752$61Vol: $66,057
📈 ECONOMICS#642,226$-38Vol: $8,113
CRYPTO#1,306,108$-27Vol: $3,037

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$2,285
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$4,461,595
Total Redeem
$7,948
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
384
total markets
Trades
42805B / 27970S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~279d

Periods

#2
Today
$5
Vol: $2,411
Week
$-3
Vol: $6,215
Month
$0
Vol: $6,215
All Time
$2,285
Vol: $4,461,595

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
61%
207W / 132L events
Realized PnL
$2,284
Win Rate
61%
207W / 132L
Profit Factor
1.31x
Avg Win
$298
Avg Loss
$-359

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $38,164 (16.710856562365905% of PnL)

Top Winners

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$29,016
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$5,943
Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?$3,205
Will Trump visit China by March 31?$2,752
Will Trump visit China by April 30?$1,339
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?$954
Another critical Cloudflare incident by April 30, 2026?$944
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$943
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$687
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?$634

Top Losers

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?$-9,715
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?$-9,249
Will Trump visit China by May 31?$-4,661
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$-2,501
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$-2,011
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?$-1,859
Trump out as President by June 30?$-1,852
Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?$-1,480
Will Trump visit China by June 30?$-1,423
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?$-1,195

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.039
Sortino
0.051
HHI
353
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.022
Kelly %
34.5%
Half-Kelly
17.3%
Top-1 market
13.5%
Top-5 markets
29.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
238.3
Very active
Markets / Day
1.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
7.8m
between trades
Night Trading
19%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.17
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
89 min
Avg Trades / Session
265.9

Bot Detection

#6
65
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 70s — normal for humanCV 1.17 — diverse sizes (human-like)19% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock238 trades/day — automation1.3 markets/day — normal99% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
238.65
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)19%
Mid (20-55c)28%
High (>55c)53%

Sessions

#12
4/7/2026, 9:30:39 PM1501 trades$19,605290 min
2/28/2026, 6:28:45 PM1066 trades$18,221281 min
3/1/2026, 6:26:59 AM717 trades$9,994299 min
3/11/2026, 4:17:29 PM370 trades$8,941119 min
3/7/2026, 8:24:13 PM352 trades$7,892102 min
5/24/2026, 2:20:41 AM234 trades$6,994117 min
3/1/2026, 3:23:43 PM436 trades$6,843178 min
3/1/2026, 1:43:51 AM393 trades$6,221159 min
3/3/2026, 6:29:41 PM390 trades$5,77389 min
2/28/2026, 11:16:09 PM328 trades$5,49391 min
3/3/2026, 8:05:17 PM334 trades$5,048125 min
5/8/2026, 6:36:02 PM279 trades$4,95537 min
4/17/2026, 12:04:26 PM294 trades$4,755121 min
4/12/2026, 1:42:37 AM363 trades$4,730129 min
2/28/2026, 6:14:29 AM200 trades$4,59567 min
7/24/2026, 7:46:19 AM17 trades$4,3432 min
4/19/2026, 7:20:38 PM252 trades$4,29076 min
3/1/2026, 12:53:43 AM204 trades$4,08644 min
5/24/2026, 1:19:42 AM134 trades$3,92555 min
4/7/2026, 7:46:07 PM256 trades$3,88590 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-14
12-10
12-31
01-29
03-19
04-19
06-11

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 37 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
39.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 238.65/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L19 / M28 / H53