@0x4ea4…8636

15

0x4ea485f213a6f0b0cdae6b34d2e6a14a335b8636

~26d· 41 markets · 117 trades2026-08-26 09:58:21
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

15
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

45% (13/29)7.4/20
0.70x (win $20 / loss $28)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.1070/15
Sortino -1.3600/10
$-0.0009 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1354 (29 markets)5.7/10
8/21 profitable days (38%)2/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($28 / $0)0/10

Badges

1
Win Streak
6 wins in a row

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-12
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$9,306
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
41
total markets
Trades
55B / 62S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~26d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
45%
13W / 16L events
Realized PnL
$-12
Win Rate
45%
13W / 16L
Profit Factor
0.7x
Avg Win
$2
Avg Loss
$-3

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $20 (1.6928327645051193% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Luxembourg vs. Italy end in a draw?$18
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$1
Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 January 5-11?$0
Will Solana dip to $80 in June?$0
Will XRP dip to $1.0 in July?$0
Will Dogecoin reach $0.30 in November?$0
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,500 on January 30?$0
Will Solana dip to $30 March 23-29?$0
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$0
Will Ethereum dip to $1000 in June?$0

Top Losers

Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-19?$-26
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Cup?$-1
Will Cameron Norrie win Wimbledon 2025?$-1
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$-0
Will the Washington Nationals win the 2025 World Series?$-0
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win Super Bowl 2026?$-0
Will Achraf Hakimi win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?$-0
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?$-0
Will Claudiu Târziu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$-0
Will the Vancouver Canucks win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.057
Sortino
-0.047
HHI
40
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.005
Kelly %
30.0%
Half-Kelly
15.0%
Top-1 market
3.2%
Top-5 markets
13%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
9/24
Normal
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
18s
between trades
Avg Gap
4.4m
between trades
Night Trading
43%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.39
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
26
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.5

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 18s — normal for humanCV 1.39 — diverse sizes (human-like)43% night trades — never sleeps9/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal23% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 3:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.24
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.8%
Mid (20-55c)5.5%
High (>55c)92.7%

Sessions

#12
8/7/2026, 11:41:42 AM17 trades$3,3734 min
8/10/2026, 3:21:19 AM12 trades$2,8112 min
8/12/2026, 7:19:42 AM6 trades$1,3631 min
6/21/2025, 2:40:42 AM6 trades$1,1191 min
6/20/2025, 10:37:54 PM6 trades$9026 min
6/23/2025, 2:41:05 AM7 trades$8632 min
3/26/2026, 7:00:33 AM8 trades$2061 min
10/27/2025, 7:27:53 AM5 trades$1482 min
12/6/2025, 3:03:47 AM3 trades$1301 min
1/7/2026, 9:31:37 AM4 trades$1171 min
7/22/2025, 8:38:34 AM4 trades$932 min
9/23/2025, 11:25:40 AM2 trades$661 min
1/29/2026, 6:14:14 AM3 trades$620 min
5/19/2026, 7:23:47 AM2 trades$610 min
3/16/2026, 3:00:23 AM4 trades$601 min
7/17/2025, 2:01:06 AM3 trades$511 min
6/30/2026, 11:42:25 AM4 trades$503 min
6/3/2026, 9:41:39 AM2 trades$460 min
4/3/2026, 2:36:23 AM4 trades$450 min
6/6/2026, 3:13:30 AM4 trades$451 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-20
07-17
09-23
12-06
01-29
03-26
06-06

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
53% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.24/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L1.8 / M5.5 / H92.7