@fernmato

#2,627,8045

0x4f0e895fb990b8b3ef3ca84d10af087607464dc6

~20d· 39 markets · 129 tradesVol: $5,2362026-08-26 09:14:24
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

5
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

12% (2/16)0/20
0.03x (win $1 / loss $36)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -17.2140/15
Sortino -12.7940/10
$-0.1191 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1457 (16 markets)5.2/10
2/11 profitable days (18%)0/10
Max DD 7925% of peak ($35 / $0)0/10

Badges

2
Contrarian
56% entries < $0.55
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,451,509$-39Vol: $1,548
🌤️ WEATHER#242,347$-8Vol: $970
💻 TECH#244,516$-26Vol: $710
🎭 CULTURE#727,355$-19Vol: $609
⚽ SPORTS#1,335,039$-9Vol: $514
💰 FINANCE#509,859$-2Vol: $424
₿ CRYPTO#1,057,057$-5Vol: $230
📈 ECONOMICS#546,391$-3Vol: $151
📢 MENTIONS#100,239$-2Vol: $40

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-115
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$5,236
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
39
total markets
Trades
84B / 45S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~20d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $40
Week
$-6
Vol: $680
Month
$-105
Vol: $4,901
All Time
$-115
Vol: $5,236

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
13%
2W / 14L events
Realized PnL
$-97
Win Rate
13%
2W / 14L
Profit Factor
0.03x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-3

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1 (0.01138811942136042% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?$1
Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$0

Top Losers

Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $117 Week of August 3 2026?$-11
Will Kyle Blomquist be the MI-01 Democratic nominee?$-7
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 25°C on August 17?$-2
Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$-2
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$-2
Will Rixi Ramona Moncada Godoy win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$-2
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026?$-2
Will Marcel Reed win the Heisman Trophy?$-2
Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$-2
Will Nathan Willett be the Republican nominee for MO-06?$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.859
Sortino
-0.864
HHI
108
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.422
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8.1%
Top-5 markets
18.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
17.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.6h
between trades
Night Trading
18%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.83
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.1

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1035s — normal for humanCV 0.83 — diverse sizes (human-like)18% night trades — unusual hours22/24 hours — around the clock0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal63% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.75
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)29.8%
Mid (20-55c)26.2%
High (>55c)44%

Sessions

#12
8/3/2026, 6:28:39 AM4 trades$343 min
8/6/2026, 10:27:06 PM4 trades$251 min
8/3/2026, 2:16:36 PM2 trades$250 min
8/17/2026, 11:17:22 PM3 trades$230 min
8/18/2026, 12:25:22 AM3 trades$230 min
8/3/2026, 8:35:17 PM2 trades$220 min
8/13/2026, 9:12:34 AM4 trades$220 min
8/3/2026, 7:09:08 AM2 trades$200 min
8/16/2026, 5:45:18 AM2 trades$200 min
8/12/2026, 10:36:09 PM5 trades$190 min
11/27/2025, 1:43:21 AM2 trades$160 min
8/3/2026, 8:11:23 PM2 trades$130 min
8/18/2026, 5:25:31 AM3 trades$120 min
11/27/2025, 6:07:31 PM3 trades$122 min
8/3/2026, 6:05:57 PM1 trades$120 min
8/3/2026, 6:18:32 AM3 trades$121 min
8/3/2026, 1:46:33 PM1 trades$110 min
8/3/2026, 7:57:51 AM3 trades$114 min
8/6/2026, 11:32:54 AM2 trades$102 min
11/17/2025, 9:34:21 PM4 trades$84 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-16
11-17
11-21
11-24
11-27
12-01
08-01
08-03
08-04
08-05
08-16

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 273 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
6.2% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
34.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.75/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L29.8 / M26.2 / H44