@0x4f2

#3,184,48826

0x4f29e103339919c4baaea2a60195cf1c8bb27a7e

~142d· 4663 markets · 441345 tradesVol: $318,753,7252026-10-05 15:22:40
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

26
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

51% (2391/4655)10.7/20
0.95x (win $1,677,942 / loss $1,763,888)1.9/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.0740/15
Sortino -1.6240/10
$-0.0104 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 26 (4655 markets)10/10
60/141 profitable days (43%)3.1/10
Max DD 1974% of peak ($132,101 / $6,692)0/10

Badges

6
Diamond Hands
1% sells
DCA Master
Avg 9.9 entries/market
Whale
$8,226,854 invested
High Roller
$57,131/day
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

1
⚽ SPORTS#1,939,127$-427,922Vol: $316,117,208

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-448,432
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$318,753,725
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
4663
total markets
Trades
40301B / 3626S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~142d

Periods

#2
Today
$10,944
Vol: $382,653
Week
$19,005
Vol: $4,934,310
Month
$-115,992
Vol: $27,839,009
All Time
$-448,432
Vol: $318,753,725

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
52%
2860W / 2679L events
Realized PnL
$-448,279
Win Rate
52%
2860W / 2679L
Profit Factor
0.95x
Avg Win
$702
Avg Loss
$-784

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $143,061 (0.3191344562096592% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?$49,094
Will England win on 2026-06-17?$47,093
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?$46,874
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?$32,781
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?$27,247
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw?$25,296
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?$20,656
Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?$20,288
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?$20,141
Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?$20,007

Top Losers

Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?$-63,122
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$-29,982
Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?$-27,349
Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?$-22,019
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?$-21,752
New York Yankees vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5$-19,982
Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5$-19,891
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?$-19,325
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?$-18,892
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?$-17,569

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.056
Sortino
-0.079
HHI
33
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.009
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.9%
Top-5 markets
7.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3064.9
Very active
Markets / Day
32.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
39s
between trades
Avg Gap
5.2m
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.33
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
79 min
Avg Trades / Session
168.6

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 39s — normal for humanCV 4.33 — diverse sizes (human-like)3% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock3065 trades/day — automation32 markets/day — mass coverage9% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 1:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
9.94
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)6.4%
Mid (20-55c)31.8%
High (>55c)61.8%

Sessions

#12
6/20/2026, 7:57:10 PM375 trades$152,802108 min
6/21/2026, 7:31:32 PM455 trades$143,685132 min
6/13/2026, 11:10:09 PM231 trades$105,70764 min
6/22/2026, 11:50:34 PM257 trades$102,37493 min
6/18/2026, 8:03:46 PM116 trades$99,10039 min
6/26/2026, 11:56:38 PM92 trades$98,17559 min
6/20/2026, 2:47:25 AM257 trades$97,136140 min
6/19/2026, 9:46:44 PM228 trades$94,397158 min
6/24/2026, 7:44:59 PM126 trades$93,96657 min
6/26/2026, 1:58:50 AM177 trades$80,51769 min
6/24/2026, 9:57:04 PM185 trades$79,58765 min
6/9/2026, 10:29:09 AM472 trades$78,844294 min
6/14/2026, 5:30:01 PM76 trades$78,10634 min
6/20/2026, 12:32:17 AM238 trades$74,758116 min
6/25/2026, 12:04:38 AM260 trades$69,051157 min
6/18/2026, 1:51:59 AM110 trades$65,78562 min
6/23/2026, 10:58:49 PM329 trades$62,995140 min
6/17/2026, 12:43:02 AM255 trades$60,652113 min
6/17/2026, 7:22:23 PM228 trades$59,789113 min
6/28/2026, 1:59:01 AM134 trades$58,91666 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-07
06-01
06-24
07-17
08-09
09-01
09-25

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 36 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.94/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L6.4 / M31.8 / H61.8