@0x4f2
#3,135,309250x4f29e103339919c4baaea2a60195cf1c8bb27a7e
~108d· 4247 markets · 429119 tradesVol: $297,731,8102026-09-10 21:37:29
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
25
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
51% (2162/4233)10.5/20
0.95x (win $1,595,332 / loss $1,672,332)1.9/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.1270/15
Sortino -1.7280/10
$-0.0097 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 28 (4233 markets)10/10
42/107 profitable days (39%)2.3/10
Max DD 1974% of peak ($132,098 / $6,692)0/10
Badges
6Diamond Hands
1% sells
DCA Master
Avg 10.7 entries/market
Whale
$7,936,067 invested
High Roller
$72,808/day
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
1⚽ SPORTS#1,908,302$-215,168Vol: $295,113,190
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-235,678
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$297,731,810
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
4247
total markets
Trades
39226B / 3575S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~108d
Periods
#2Today
$8,099
Vol: $582,516
Week
$-71,170
Vol: $4,739,391
Month
$-36,086
Vol: $7,749,063
All Time
$-235,678
Vol: $297,731,810
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
52%
2540W / 2371L events
Realized PnL
$-309,746
Win Rate
52%
2540W / 2371L
Profit Factor
0.95x
Avg Win
$738
Avg Loss
$-812
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $143,061 (0.46186667846128066% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?$49,094
Will England win on 2026-06-17?$47,093
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?$46,874
Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-20?$32,781
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?$27,247
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw?$25,296
Will United States win on 2026-06-25?$20,656
Will Mexico vs. Korea Republic end in a draw?$20,288
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-27?$20,141
Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw?$20,007
Top Losers
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?$-63,122
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$-29,982
Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?$-27,349
Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?$-22,019
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?$-21,752
Colombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5$-19,891
Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?$-19,325
Will Austria win on 2026-06-17?$-18,892
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?$-17,569
Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?$-16,998
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.059
Sortino
-0.089
HHI
35
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.009
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2%
Top-5 markets
7.4%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
3936.9
Very active
Markets / Day
39.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
37s
between trades
Avg Gap
4.3m
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.33
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
80 min
Avg Trades / Session
170.2
Bot Detection
#655
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 37s — normal for humanCV 4.33 — diverse sizes (human-like)3% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock3937 trades/day — automation39 markets/day — mass coverage9% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 1:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
10.66
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)6.5%
Mid (20-55c)31.8%
High (>55c)61.8%
Sessions
#126/20/2026, 7:57:10 PM375 trades$152,802108 min
6/21/2026, 7:31:32 PM455 trades$143,685132 min
6/13/2026, 11:10:09 PM231 trades$105,70764 min
6/22/2026, 11:50:34 PM257 trades$102,37493 min
6/18/2026, 8:03:46 PM116 trades$99,10039 min
6/26/2026, 11:56:38 PM92 trades$98,17559 min
6/20/2026, 2:47:25 AM257 trades$97,136140 min
6/19/2026, 9:46:44 PM228 trades$94,397158 min
6/24/2026, 7:44:59 PM126 trades$93,96657 min
6/26/2026, 1:58:50 AM177 trades$80,51769 min
6/24/2026, 9:57:04 PM185 trades$79,58765 min
6/9/2026, 10:29:09 AM472 trades$78,844294 min
6/14/2026, 5:30:01 PM76 trades$78,10634 min
6/20/2026, 12:32:17 AM238 trades$74,758116 min
6/25/2026, 12:04:38 AM260 trades$69,051157 min
6/18/2026, 1:51:59 AM110 trades$65,78562 min
6/23/2026, 10:58:49 PM329 trades$62,995140 min
6/17/2026, 12:43:02 AM255 trades$60,652113 min
6/17/2026, 7:22:23 PM228 trades$59,789113 min
6/28/2026, 1:59:01 AM134 trades$58,91666 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-07
05-24
06-12
06-29
07-16
08-02
08-19
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 36 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 10.66/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L6.5 / M31.8 / H61.8