@0x4f51…cb02

16

0x4f51499ec97ff186c9cfca429ca102f590ffcb02

~170d· 244 markets · 966 trades2026-08-26 09:12:24
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

16
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

38% (81/212)4.1/20
0.41x (win $5 / loss $13)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.9990/15
Sortino -2.0070/10
$-0.0170 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 70 (212 markets)10/10
56/150 profitable days (37%)1.8/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($10 / $0)0/10

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-4
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$449
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
244
total markets
Trades
475B / 491S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~170d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
38%
81W / 131L events
Realized PnL
$-4
Win Rate
38%
81W / 131L
Profit Factor
0.41x
Avg Win
$0
Avg Loss
$-0

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1 (0.13701923076923078% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by May 15?$0
Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026?$0
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 14?$0
Netanyahu out by July 31?$0
DOJ reopens Powell investigation by May 15?$0
Will the Housing for the 21st Century Act become law this year?$0
Will Trump attend 1 World Cup match?$0
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%?$0
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?$0
Takaichi meets with Korean leader Lee Jae-Myung by May 19?$0

Top Losers

Will Elon Musk be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?$-4
Will NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$-4
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?$-2
Will Kevin Lee McCants be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Tennessee?$-1
Will iRobot announce bankruptcy before 2027?$-0
Will Australia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?$-0
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$-0
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 30% on Humanity’s Last Exam by January 31?$-0
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$-0
Will CD win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.104
Sortino
-0.072
HHI
50
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.020
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.8%
Top-5 markets
8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.9
Active Hours
11/24
Normal
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.1h
between trades
Night Trading
71%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.23
Moderate
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.3

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
HIGH
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
HIGH
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 168s — normal for humanCV 0.23, 4% unique — templated orders71% night trades — never sleeps11/24 hours — normal schedule4 trades/day — normal0.9 markets/day — normal35% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 3:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.95
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)5.3%
Mid (20-55c)0.2%
High (>55c)94.5%

Sessions

#12
4/21/2026, 2:20:24 AM8 trades$87 min
4/24/2026, 2:34:12 AM8 trades$79 min
11/21/2025, 1:21:55 AM6 trades$75 min
4/2/2026, 2:50:13 AM8 trades$61 min
4/20/2026, 2:23:40 AM8 trades$67 min
5/6/2026, 2:58:30 AM8 trades$610 min
4/9/2026, 2:41:25 AM8 trades$63 min
4/28/2026, 2:43:54 AM8 trades$610 min
6/4/2026, 8:12:10 AM8 trades$68 min
4/4/2026, 3:00:49 AM8 trades$54 min
4/1/2026, 2:52:45 AM8 trades$55 min
4/3/2026, 2:23:19 AM8 trades$53 min
4/13/2026, 2:25:07 AM9 trades$54 min
4/7/2026, 2:58:29 AM8 trades$46 min
4/8/2026, 3:07:13 AM8 trades$44 min
4/10/2026, 6:14:57 AM8 trades$44 min
11/24/2025, 2:26:39 AM4 trades$44 min
12/24/2025, 7:41:21 AM4 trades$45 min
1/4/2026, 8:04:49 AM4 trades$45 min
3/24/2026, 3:55:33 AM4 trades$44 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-07
12-26
03-12
04-13
05-18
06-21

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
50.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.95/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L5.3 / M0.2 / H94.5