@AboveTheOdds

#3,73466

0x4fca270d2cf7df3ad90e490d3c0e4a916c83f72e

~210d· 309 markets · 5438 tradesVol: $2,474,352 @0xUmbrix2026-08-02 04:11:40
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

66
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

31% (89/291)0.3/20
1.80x (win $103,011 / loss $57,308)12.5/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.09915/15
Sortino 5.73410/10
$+0.1934 per $1 invested9.7/10
HHI 526 (291 markets)9.9/10
51/130 profitable days (39%)2.3/10
Max DD 40% of peak ($29,985 / $75,687)6.1/10

Badges

5
Profitable
PnL $+47,116
Lottery Player
57% entries < $0.20
Whale
$236,278 invested
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
75% maker orders

Categories

6
⚽ SPORTS#54,378$543Vol: $1,277,281
₿ CRYPTO#1,273$33,509Vol: $723,509
🏛️ POLITICS#3,036$13,216Vol: $173,712
📈 ECONOMICS#657,934$-99Vol: $5,815
🎭 CULTURE#765,363$-57Vol: $1,800
📢 MENTIONS#169,511$-224Vol: $897

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$47,116
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,474,352
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
309
total markets
Trades
3932B / 1506S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~210d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$237
Vol: $0
Month
$2
Vol: $0
All Time
$47,116
Vol: $2,474,352

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
31%
89W / 202L events
Realized PnL
$47,116
Win Rate
31%
89W / 202L
Profit Factor
1.8x
Avg Win
$1,157
Avg Loss
$-297

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $35,507 (0.7536011182632113% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?$14,508
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 15? $13,785
Over $6M committed to the Printr public sale?$7,213
Will Monad perform an airdrop by October 31? $7,093
Over $8M committed to the Printr public sale?$6,918
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?$5,838
Over $10M committed to the Printr public sale?$5,141
Over $4M committed to the Printr public sale?$4,764
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?$4,534
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$4,327

Top Losers

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-8,938
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$-4,520
Will Vitality Qualify to LAN BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2?$-1,917
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1,774
Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1,732
Will Natus Vincere win IEM Cologne Major 2026?$-1,518
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-1,386
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1,373
Will Brazil reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1,320
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?$-1,312

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.109
Sortino
0.249
HHI
350
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.222
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
12.1%
Top-5 markets
34.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
9.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
59.7m
between trades
Night Trading
8%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.21
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
14.1

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 151s — normal for humanCV 4.21 — diverse sizes (human-like)8% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock9 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal75% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
17.6
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)56.9%
Mid (20-55c)18.7%
High (>55c)24.4%

Sessions

#12
6/3/2026, 1:18:46 PM16 trades$21,9723 min
5/18/2025, 7:05:27 PM19 trades$21,54617 min
11/5/2025, 4:08:55 PM7 trades$18,0145 min
10/14/2025, 7:57:39 PM3 trades$14,5100 min
5/18/2025, 7:36:29 PM10 trades$12,8249 min
10/30/2025, 12:51:57 PM3 trades$10,0102 min
5/18/2025, 3:28:57 PM7 trades$9,6175 min
10/14/2025, 7:34:27 PM2 trades$9,5241 min
5/1/2026, 7:45:40 AM19 trades$7,9194 min
10/14/2025, 9:05:11 PM4 trades$7,89010 min
4/30/2026, 6:56:00 AM44 trades$6,23526 min
6/1/2026, 1:06:00 PM313 trades$6,09623 min
5/18/2025, 3:20:45 PM2 trades$5,3703 min
6/13/2026, 1:35:33 PM6 trades$5,0031 min
11/1/2025, 9:48:25 PM1 trades$4,7580 min
4/28/2026, 9:15:28 AM25 trades$4,63213 min
11/25/2025, 2:12:55 PM10 trades$4,4848 min
10/30/2025, 10:46:03 AM3 trades$4,3641 min
4/12/2026, 2:04:51 PM11 trades$4,0395 min
6/4/2026, 8:32:15 PM16 trades$3,7748 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-06
11-05
01-03
02-04
04-29
06-18
07-12

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 91 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
27.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 17.6/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L56.9 / M18.7 / H24.4