@crestglacier

#1,907,02775

0x4fcb7047059388da44c554e03c2eb5c5e74e5281

~14d· 46 markets · 276 tradesVol: $24,3612026-08-02 04:07:27
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

75
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

64% (7/11)16.8/20
215.04x (win $19 / loss $0)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 12.22115/15
Sortino 1786.98010/10
$+0.0008 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 5508 (11 markets)0/10
5/8 profitable days (62%)8.1/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($0 / $19)10/10

Badges

4
Sniper
Win rate 64%
DCA Master
Avg 5.3 entries/market
Consistent
5/8 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 0%

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-12
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$24,361
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
46
total markets
Trades
127B / 149S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~14d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
64%
7W / 4L events
Realized PnL
$-12
Win Rate
64%
7W / 4L
Profit Factor
215x
Avg Win
$3
Avg Loss
$-0

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $18 (1.489795918367347% of PnL)

Top Winners

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?$9
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?$8
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?$1
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in May?$0
Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?$0
Will Cho Eun-hee win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$0
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$0

Top Losers

Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-0
Netanyahu out by March 31?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.598
Sortino
68.094
HHI
63
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.008
Kelly %
59.8%
Half-Kelly
29.9%
Top-1 market
7.9%
Top-5 markets
9.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
8.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
50.9m
between trades
Night Trading
25%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.76
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.3

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 530s — normal for humanCV 1.76 — diverse sizes (human-like)25% night trades — unusual hours18/24 hours — extended activity2 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal43% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.27
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)100%

Sessions

#12
6/18/2026, 8:46:23 AM2 trades$1,3080 min
6/18/2026, 10:27:40 AM2 trades$1,0310 min
5/19/2026, 3:30:38 PM2 trades$9700 min
6/18/2026, 10:10:07 AM2 trades$9700 min
6/17/2026, 4:18:05 PM2 trades$9560 min
5/18/2026, 4:09:18 PM2 trades$9530 min
6/17/2026, 3:25:11 PM2 trades$9510 min
6/17/2026, 3:42:32 PM2 trades$9510 min
6/17/2026, 4:01:02 PM2 trades$9400 min
6/19/2026, 4:02:10 AM2 trades$9400 min
6/19/2026, 6:31:40 AM4 trades$9380 min
5/18/2026, 5:52:08 PM2 trades$9380 min
6/18/2026, 8:20:56 AM3 trades$9310 min
5/19/2026, 3:13:43 PM2 trades$9310 min
5/19/2026, 1:39:17 PM2 trades$9290 min
5/20/2026, 6:12:21 AM3 trades$9160 min
6/19/2026, 6:07:23 AM2 trades$9160 min
5/18/2026, 5:23:33 PM2 trades$8820 min
5/18/2026, 4:33:00 PM4 trades$7570 min
6/19/2026, 5:15:11 AM4 trades$7430 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-26
03-31
05-19
05-20
05-23
06-17
06-18
06-24

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
54% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.27/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M0 / H100