@0x4fd591…9663

#3,062,4494

0x4fd591cd13d8843e9733ca05659ebef07e6dc897

~20d· 55 markets · 443 tradesVol: $92,0212026-08-26 09:12:58
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

4
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

31% (17/55)0.5/20
0.20x (win $513 / loss $2,613)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.7940/15
Sortino -5.6110/10
$-0.9566 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2123 (55 markets)1.9/10
7/20 profitable days (35%)1.2/10
Max DD 877% of peak ($2,369 / $270)0/10

Categories

3
₿ CRYPTO#1,581,803$-279Vol: $70,127
🌤️ WEATHER#303,665$-2,697Vol: $19,520
⚽ SPORTS#1,755,292$-206Vol: $2,373

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-3,182
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$92,021
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
55
total markets
Trades
174B / 269S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~20d

Periods

#2
Week
$-176
Vol: $1,840
Month
$-2,351
Vol: $50,796
All Time
$-3,182
Vol: $92,021

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
31%
17W / 38L events
Realized PnL
$-2,815
Win Rate
31%
17W / 38L
Profit Factor
0.2x
Avg Win
$30
Avg Loss
$-79

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $356 (0.12663831480514312% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET$228
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET$100
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$28
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on July 6?$25
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET$24
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET$16
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 7?$16
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$15
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 98-99°F on July 5?$14
Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: O/U 2.5$12

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on August 7?$-1,240
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET$-1,000
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET$-140
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$-81
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 11?$-13
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 9?$-13
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$-12
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on July 7?$-11
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on July 7?$-10
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET$-10

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.296
Sortino
-0.242
HHI
2671
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.957
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
45.4%
Top-5 markets
82.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
37s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.16
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.2

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 37s — normal for humanCV 5.16 — diverse sizes (human-like)2% night trades — normal pattern19/24 hours — extended activity3 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal37% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
8.05
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)21.8%
Mid (20-55c)26.4%
High (>55c)51.7%

Sessions

#12
8/1/2026, 6:48:23 PM94 trades$99010 min
8/5/2026, 10:41:59 PM14 trades$9490 min
8/5/2026, 10:30:54 PM11 trades$8130 min
7/12/2026, 12:14:35 AM2 trades$5050 min
3/25/2026, 8:33:03 PM5 trades$2477 min
8/3/2026, 8:53:39 PM92 trades$1211 min
7/4/2026, 12:20:28 PM14 trades$971 min
7/9/2026, 7:54:16 PM9 trades$839 min
3/25/2026, 9:17:11 PM2 trades$501 min
3/25/2026, 8:53:51 PM3 trades$415 min
7/8/2026, 5:21:34 PM11 trades$417 min
7/10/2026, 9:35:44 AM4 trades$331 min
7/6/2026, 10:25:34 PM9 trades$311 min
7/7/2026, 1:30:35 AM3 trades$290 min
7/6/2026, 2:45:32 PM2 trades$290 min
7/6/2026, 10:08:05 PM3 trades$290 min
7/7/2026, 12:59:44 PM2 trades$270 min
7/6/2026, 2:22:23 PM3 trades$240 min
7/4/2026, 12:44:13 PM7 trades$210 min
7/5/2026, 9:14:52 PM5 trades$210 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-25
06-22
07-02
07-06
07-09
07-12
08-03

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 30 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
38% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
60.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.05/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L21.8 / M26.4 / H51.7