@pengpeng32

#3,037,31932

0x50364f9378c3a946ffec255cee1a32969d2d3aad

~77d· 45 markets · 468 tradesVol: $289,3082026-08-02 09:31:16
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

32
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

63% (19/30)16.7/20
0.42x (win $3,893 / loss $9,239)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.1330/15
Sortino -3.3750/10
$-0.0422 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1064 (30 markets)7.2/10
17/28 profitable days (61%)7.7/10
Max DD 294% of peak ($8,101 / $2,755)0/10

Badges

6
Sniper
Win rate 63%
DCA Master
Avg 6.1 entries/market
Whale
$126,701 invested
Consistent
17/28 profitable days
Win Streak
11 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

3
CRYPTO#1,667,575$-7,033Vol: $197,770
🏛️ POLITICS#8,477$3,237Vol: $86,537
📈 ECONOMICS#677,567$-905Vol: $5,000

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-4,701
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$289,308
Total Redeem
$1,000
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
45
total markets
Trades
299B / 169S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~77d

Periods

#2
Today
$-14
Vol: $0
Week
$96
Vol: $0
Month
$-114
Vol: $0
All Time
$-4,701
Vol: $289,308

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
63%
19W / 11L events
Realized PnL
$-4,701
Win Rate
63%
19W / 11L
Profit Factor
0.42x
Avg Win
$205
Avg Loss
$-1,027

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,297 (0.7012209388892434% of PnL)

Top Winners

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$2,422
Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?$590
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?$285
Will Stable launch a token in 2025?$113
Will Backpack launch a token by December 31, 2026?$111
Over $200M committed to the Monad public sale?$94
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?$50
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$8B one day after launch?$41
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? $40
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?$31

Top Losers

Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?$-4,482
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?$-3,731
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?$-905
Over $1B committed to the MegaETH public sale?$-68
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?$-34
Lee Jae-myung arrested in 2025?$-9
Will Monad perform an airdrop by November 30? $-5
Obama arrested in 2025?$-3
Will Shinjirō Koizumi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.161
Sortino
-0.111
HHI
408
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.065
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
12.6%
Top-5 markets
37.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
9.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.2h
between trades
Night Trading
39%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.87
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.3

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 564s — normal for humanCV 1.87 — diverse sizes (human-like)39% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal63% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 2:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.13
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)2.3%
Mid (20-55c)20.7%
High (>55c)76.9%

Sessions

#12
2/10/2026, 10:12:43 PM10 trades$14,12610 min
12/2/2025, 5:15:12 AM4 trades$10,0964 min
7/19/2026, 9:04:07 AM2 trades$9,0360 min
1/22/2026, 7:08:44 AM5 trades$6,7614 min
12/18/2025, 2:00:06 AM6 trades$6,52511 min
2/11/2026, 12:24:31 AM2 trades$5,8960 min
12/28/2025, 2:48:27 AM3 trades$5,6041 min
11/22/2025, 12:35:51 AM3 trades$4,9902 min
12/16/2025, 1:31:43 AM2 trades$4,7321 min
3/23/2026, 10:36:59 PM5 trades$4,2027 min
2/17/2026, 12:06:31 AM18 trades$3,8616 min
11/8/2025, 12:41:43 AM3 trades$3,7962 min
1/12/2026, 10:09:59 PM2 trades$3,5890 min
5/22/2026, 2:53:19 AM25 trades$3,5480 min
1/16/2026, 9:38:22 PM4 trades$3,3562 min
12/25/2025, 2:13:17 AM6 trades$3,26712 min
2/1/2026, 4:13:02 AM3 trades$3,1751 min
1/2/2026, 7:58:49 AM13 trades$2,96710 min
12/3/2025, 4:27:01 AM2 trades$2,8441 min
12/13/2025, 2:37:01 AM2 trades$2,7603 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-29
10-22
11-10
12-02
12-21
01-12
02-17

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 70 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
36.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.13/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L2.3 / M20.7 / H76.9