alister-crowley

@alister-crowley

#3,053,91716

0x5078f57065a338bd58065e76f02a9f9f5dd28082

~23d· 215 markets · 4446 tradesVol: $267,0392026-08-26 09:15:27
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

16
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

41% (89/215)5.7/20
0.43x (win $3,257 / loss $7,531)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.9540/15
Sortino -4.8020/10
$-0.3559 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 443 (215 markets)10/10
5/23 profitable days (22%)0/10
Max DD 30896% of peak ($4,393 / $14)0/10

Badges

1
Win Streak
7 wins in a row

Categories

2
CRYPTO#1,680,716$-2,499Vol: $256,512
SPORTS#1,752,488$-200Vol: $10,526

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-2,699
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$267,039
Total Redeem
$36
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
215
total markets
Trades
2748B / 1698S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~23d

Periods

#2
Today
$-131
Vol: $13,238
Week
$-945
Vol: $93,117
Month
$-1,881
Vol: $111,882
All Time
$-2,699
Vol: $267,039

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
41%
89W / 126L events
Realized PnL
$-1,443
Win Rate
41%
89W / 126L
Profit Factor
0.43x
Avg Win
$37
Avg Loss
$-61

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $962 (0.6664773081532696% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET$605
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET$191
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET$166
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$165
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET$146
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$123
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET$122
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET$89
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET$73
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET$71

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET$-1,737
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET$-1,185
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET$-447
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET$-410
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$-184
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$-179
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$-124
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET$-121
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET$-119
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET$-115

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.254
Sortino
-0.221
HHI
394
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.350
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
14.3%
Top-5 markets
33.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
41.2
Active
Markets / Day
2.0
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
6s
between trades
Avg Gap
14.1m
between trades
Night Trading
4%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.88
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
10 min
Avg Trades / Session
82.4

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
60% gaps < 10s — regular intervalsCV 1.88 — diverse sizes (human-like)3% night trades — normal pattern21/24 hours — extended activity41 trades/day — high frequency2.0 markets/day — normal62% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 9:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
20.69
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)5.4%
Mid (20-55c)35%
High (>55c)59.6%

Sessions

#12
5/12/2026, 9:01:44 AM1527 trades$7,83079 min
5/12/2026, 7:50:41 AM242 trades$1,18222 min
8/13/2026, 1:50:16 PM133 trades$8528 min
8/13/2026, 3:15:04 PM340 trades$8118 min
5/7/2026, 11:46:43 PM147 trades$66717 min
5/11/2026, 11:40:21 PM185 trades$66214 min
5/12/2026, 7:05:56 AM94 trades$4553 min
5/8/2026, 12:10:12 AM96 trades$40429 min
7/5/2026, 7:28:55 PM3 trades$4000 min
5/8/2026, 11:15:15 AM95 trades$36932 min
8/13/2026, 1:35:04 PM52 trades$3373 min
5/12/2026, 10:37:52 AM91 trades$3269 min
5/7/2026, 8:43:33 PM89 trades$31823 min
5/6/2026, 11:01:56 AM44 trades$2638 min
5/7/2026, 11:31:45 PM63 trades$20410 min
5/11/2026, 7:55:48 PM47 trades$2007 min
5/6/2026, 11:32:40 AM23 trades$1992 min
5/7/2026, 9:30:32 PM39 trades$18516 min
5/6/2026, 11:15:54 AM29 trades$18410 min
4/30/2026, 6:21:04 PM54 trades$1793 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-28
05-02
05-06
05-09
05-12
07-05
07-28
08-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 95 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
38.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 20.69/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L5.4 / M35 / H59.6