@mathrex

#3,061,12852

0x50b0de750ec7f757250d483ebb86e1e9e61e1640

~27d· 38 markets · 494 tradesVol: $149,6282026-08-02 04:07:23
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

52
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

59% (19/32)14.7/20
1.10x (win $17,704 / loss $16,146)3.7/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.4889.2/15
Sortino 0.7877.9/10
$+0.0172 per $1 invested0.9/10
HHI 1091 (32 markets)7/10
12/18 profitable days (67%)9.2/10
Max DD 760% of peak ($11,836 / $1,557)0/10

Badges

4
DCA Master
Avg 10.5 entries/market
Whale
$90,383 invested
Consistent
12/18 profitable days
High Roller
$1,116/day

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#1,634,853$-6,963Vol: $72,059
CRYPTO#1,663,425$-4,809Vol: $48,087
💻 TECH#4,786$148Vol: $8,774
💰 FINANCE#6,021$587Vol: $7,861
🎭 CULTURE#815,215$-5,225Vol: $7,140
SPORTS#112,517$116Vol: $5,077
🌤️ WEATHER#12,963$32Vol: $632

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-16,114
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$149,628
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
38
total markets
Trades
80B / 414S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~27d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$127
Vol: $0
Month
$20
Vol: $0
All Time
$-16,114
Vol: $149,628

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
59%
19W / 13L events
Realized PnL
$-16,114
Win Rate
59%
19W / 13L
Profit Factor
1.1x
Avg Win
$932
Avg Loss
$-2,307

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $16,679 (1.0350166808155727% of PnL)

Top Winners

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$10,240
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$3,795
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?$2,643
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?$272
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?$174
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$138
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?$101
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?$66
Megaquake by July 31?$63
Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?$50

Top Losers

Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$-4,000
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$-3,595
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$-3,051
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$-2,927
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$-976
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$-931
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$-667

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.025
Sortino
0.039
HHI
555
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.023
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
16.4%
Top-5 markets
42.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
6.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
15/24
Extended
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
47s
between trades
Avg Gap
50.5m
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.35
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
42
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
11.8

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 47s — normal for humanCV 1.35 — diverse sizes (human-like)0% night trades — normal pattern15/24 hours — normal schedule6 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal16% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 7:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
10.47
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.2%
Mid (20-55c)6.2%
High (>55c)92.5%

Sessions

#12
6/14/2026, 10:29:33 AM88 trades$25,1305 min
5/13/2026, 6:49:46 PM15 trades$14,1840 min
5/15/2026, 3:16:10 PM9 trades$12,2080 min
6/1/2026, 2:19:28 PM4 trades$10,1630 min
5/17/2026, 6:58:58 PM28 trades$9,7720 min
5/2/2026, 7:19:22 AM57 trades$9,2987 min
7/12/2026, 11:58:28 AM29 trades$6,7064 min
5/2/2026, 7:35:32 AM4 trades$5,5810 min
5/27/2026, 12:33:13 PM5 trades$5,3931 min
5/16/2026, 8:27:46 PM14 trades$4,8320 min
6/24/2026, 4:07:44 PM8 trades$4,8070 min
6/21/2026, 3:49:52 PM10 trades$4,5861 min
7/12/2026, 11:37:05 AM4 trades$4,1401 min
6/26/2026, 11:58:44 AM2 trades$4,0000 min
7/17/2026, 9:04:03 PM13 trades$3,6150 min
6/23/2026, 11:22:07 PM9 trades$3,5894 min
7/10/2026, 10:21:50 AM9 trades$2,8773 min
6/11/2026, 7:38:15 AM17 trades$2,6390 min
7/9/2026, 8:43:52 AM12 trades$2,2563 min
6/26/2026, 12:19:04 PM15 trades$2,2111 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-02
05-27
06-15
06-26
07-10
07-16

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
83.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 10.47/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L1.2 / M6.2 / H92.5