@mentapol

#365,48572

0x50c86e71b7ac27dea7e12d6ad8763c6a9ed7fa2a

~54d· 124 markets · 327 tradesVol: $17,6662026-08-04 23:03:03
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

72
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

82% (86/105)20/20
1.22x (win $1,513 / loss $1,236)5.3/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.86215/15
Sortino 1.10810/10
$+0.0388 per $1 invested1.9/10
HHI 573 (105 markets)9.6/10
29/40 profitable days (72%)10/10
Max DD 109% of peak ($746 / $687)0/10

Badges

5
Sniper
Win rate 82%
Profitable
PnL $+32
Consistent
29/40 profitable days
Win Streak
19 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#1,539,608$-126Vol: $9,905
💰 FINANCE#11,036$240Vol: $3,775
SPORTS#1,630,802$-67Vol: $2,948
🎭 CULTURE#692,818$-11Vol: $606
💻 TECH#12,127$24Vol: $342
📈 ECONOMICS#637,126$-29Vol: $60
CRYPTO#401,725$1Vol: $31

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$32
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$17,666
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
124
total markets
Trades
254B / 73S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~54d

Periods

#2
Today
$-2
Vol: $0
Week
$-2
Vol: $0
Month
$-9
Vol: $0
All Time
$32
Vol: $17,666

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
82%
86W / 19L events
Realized PnL
$32
Win Rate
82%
86W / 19L
Profit Factor
1.22x
Avg Win
$18
Avg Loss
$-69

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,108 (34.717868338558% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$445
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$336
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?$326
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$24
Will any xAI Grok model score at least 30% on the FrontierMath Exam?$22
Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Colombia's election?$20
Will OpenAI GPT score at least 35% on Humanity’s Last Exam?$19
Nuclear weapon detonation by June 30?$19
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?$19
Will Google Gemini score at least 40% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?$16

Top Losers

Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$-742
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-66
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-61
Will Juan Carlos Pinzón win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$-56
Will Kanye tweet again by February 28?$-49
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?$-34
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$-32
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-32
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$-30
Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 10?$-30

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.044
Sortino
0.032
HHI
721
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.036
Kelly %
30.4%
Half-Kelly
15.2%
Top-1 market
17.6%
Top-5 markets
48.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
24.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.7h
between trades
Night Trading
39%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.46
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.6

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1464s — normal for humanCV 1.45 — diverse sizes (human-like)39% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.7 markets/day — normal59% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 5:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.93
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)9.4%
Mid (20-55c)3.1%
High (>55c)87.4%

Sessions

#12
3/11/2026, 5:03:57 AM11 trades$7069 min
1/26/2026, 1:27:04 AM2 trades$4483 min
3/9/2026, 5:14:51 PM6 trades$4324 min
3/12/2026, 4:50:57 PM1 trades$3220 min
1/23/2026, 10:30:54 PM6 trades$2925 min
7/2/2026, 8:21:13 PM2 trades$2280 min
7/21/2026, 8:11:45 PM8 trades$2220 min
1/13/2026, 5:24:01 AM7 trades$1903 min
1/30/2026, 7:25:46 AM2 trades$1821 min
1/24/2026, 1:01:58 PM2 trades$1670 min
1/29/2026, 4:45:20 AM2 trades$1671 min
2/20/2026, 4:57:32 AM3 trades$1584 min
2/2/2026, 11:00:52 PM1 trades$1430 min
3/10/2026, 11:59:31 PM1 trades$1400 min
1/23/2026, 10:55:32 PM3 trades$1274 min
2/1/2026, 12:44:30 PM1 trades$1240 min
3/1/2026, 8:06:37 PM4 trades$1194 min
3/22/2026, 8:31:01 PM1 trades$1190 min
1/24/2026, 10:40:38 PM3 trades$1104 min
2/26/2026, 2:46:00 PM1 trades$1080 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-13
01-21
01-30
02-05
02-20
03-04
03-12

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 48 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
22.3% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.93/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L9.4 / M3.1 / H87.4