sawyernathanae

@sawyernathanae

#2,852,6816

0x50d5ead541a7de8470c4d990958632eb9d55dae1

~31d· 30 markets · 76 tradesVol: $16,7552026-08-24 20:39:55
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

6
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

15% (4/27)0/20
0.20x (win $89 / loss $443)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -6.4530/15
Sortino -6.5930/10
$-0.0322 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1235 (27 markets)6.3/10
4/26 profitable days (15%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($435 / $0)0/10

Categories

4
🏛️ POLITICS#1,418,094$-28Vol: $11,498
SPORTS#1,792,915$-372Vol: $5,241
🎭 CULTURE#377,627$-0Vol: $11
CRYPTO#667,273$0Vol: $5

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-400
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$16,755
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
30
total markets
Trades
38B / 38S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~31d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-5
Vol: $10,465
All Time
$-400
Vol: $16,755

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
15%
4W / 23L events
Realized PnL
$-400
Win Rate
15%
4W / 23L
Profit Factor
0.2x
Avg Win
$22
Avg Loss
$-20

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $89 (0.22250543519004423% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?$81
MLB All-Star Game$5
Diamondbacks vs. Tigers$3
Will XRP reach $4.0 in June?$0

Top Losers

Pacers vs. Pistons$-128
Rockets vs. Nuggets$-103
Sabres vs. Kraken$-103
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers$-39
Rockets vs. Kings$-24
Who will speak more at VP Debate?$-20
Liberty vs. Mercury$-18
Blue Jays vs. Rays$-3
GOP wins popular vote by 7% or more?$-2
Democrats win popular vote by 5-6%?$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.331
Sortino
-0.345
HHI
4
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.629
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.2%
Top-5 markets
3.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.0
Active Hours
16/24
Extended
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.2h
between trades
Avg Gap
8.0h
between trades
Night Trading
8%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.56
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
47
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.6

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 18754s — normal for humanCV 1.56 — diverse sizes (human-like)8% night trades — normal pattern16/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.0 markets/day — normal16% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 12:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.52
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)15.8%
Mid (20-55c)26.3%
High (>55c)57.9%

Sessions

#12
8/10/2026, 12:17:45 PM19 trades$2,1474 min
8/10/2026, 4:10:18 PM4 trades$2,1003 min
8/11/2026, 11:29:42 AM4 trades$2,0954 min
8/12/2026, 8:36:12 PM2 trades$1,0540 min
8/12/2026, 8:43:31 PM2 trades$1,0400 min
8/13/2026, 1:21:00 PM2 trades$1,0400 min
8/10/2026, 12:15:31 AM2 trades$1,0380 min
1/16/2025, 1:49:35 AM1 trades$1280 min
1/15/2025, 4:22:13 AM1 trades$1030 min
1/20/2025, 9:54:39 AM1 trades$1030 min
7/10/2026, 1:13:44 PM2 trades$1020 min
12/13/2024, 8:16:03 AM1 trades$390 min
12/2/2024, 8:16:03 AM1 trades$240 min
10/1/2024, 1:05:02 PM1 trades$200 min
9/14/2025, 3:58:04 PM1 trades$180 min
5/8/2025, 7:51:43 AM1 trades$60 min
5/8/2025, 12:16:03 PM1 trades$60 min
5/12/2025, 6:04:58 AM1 trades$60 min
5/12/2025, 11:58:24 AM1 trades$60 min
5/14/2025, 2:55:44 AM1 trades$60 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-01
01-15
03-13
04-10
05-07
06-23
09-16

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
50% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.52/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L15.8 / M26.3 / H57.9