Polydata
bullishkirby

@bullishkirby

#3,066,93592

0x515e2144bf38402568979db4ea7f6b64636c8309

~68d· 131 markets · 6813 tradesVol: $5,881,169 @Quantumari2026-07-31 15:27:18
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

92
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

74% (81/110)20/20
2.02x (win $393,592 / loss $194,665)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.28615/15
Sortino 10.03010/10
$+0.0543 per $1 invested2.7/10
HHI 492 (110 markets)10/10
31/44 profitable days (70%)10/10
Max DD 24% of peak ($47,114 / $198,927)9.3/10

Badges

9
Sniper
Win rate 74%
DCA Master
Avg 57.4 entries/market
Whale
$3,661,479 invested
Consistent
31/44 profitable days
High Roller
$45,768/day
Cool Head
Max DD 24%
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
78% maker orders

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#1,671$27,930Vol: $3,757,424
📈 ECONOMICS#683,824$-96,870Vol: $564,262
SPORTS#7,749$6,146Vol: $457,445
CRYPTO#6,162$8,004Vol: $334,725
💻 TECH#10,908$30Vol: $121,765
🎭 CULTURE#814,398$-3,611Vol: $10,105
🌤️ WEATHER#27,319$7Vol: $311

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-70,632
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$5,881,169
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
131
total markets
Trades
5314B / 1499S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~68d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-96,861
Vol: $524,308
Month
$-107,189
Vol: $1,180,651
All Time
$-70,632
Vol: $5,881,169

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
74%
81W / 29L events
Realized PnL
$-70,629
Win Rate
74%
81W / 29L
Profit Factor
2.02x
Avg Win
$4,859
Avg Loss
$-7,210

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $154,097 (2.1817817042854206% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$54,397
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$50,091
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?$49,609
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?$38,653
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$33,731
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$21,914
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$19,547
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? $17,821
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs$15,437
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$11,274

Top Losers

Will Karen Bass & Spencer Pratt advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$-85,141
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$-20,919
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-16,725
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-13,647
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-13,269
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$-9,900
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$-9,636
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?$-5,629
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?$-3,900
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$-3,270

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.222
Sortino
0.338
HHI
448
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.057
Kelly %
41.9%
Half-Kelly
20.9%
Top-1 market
12.8%
Top-5 markets
37.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
85.2
Very active
Markets / Day
1.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
38s
between trades
Avg Gap
20.6m
between trades
Night Trading
17%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
6.28
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
12 min
Avg Trades / Session
35.7

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 38s — normal for humanCV 6.28 — diverse sizes (human-like)17% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock85 trades/day — mass trading1.6 markets/day — normal78% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
57.39
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)8.6%
Mid (20-55c)16.8%
High (>55c)74.6%

Sessions

#12
7/10/2026, 10:35:28 AM66 trades$260,0098 min
6/2/2026, 12:15:38 PM1 trades$198,2000 min
6/15/2026, 4:37:52 AM36 trades$193,02910 min
6/15/2026, 3:50:37 AM19 trades$127,57510 min
6/15/2026, 12:01:24 AM2 trades$113,0110 min
6/9/2026, 5:08:18 PM22 trades$98,02713 min
6/7/2026, 12:43:03 PM10 trades$97,5665 min
6/15/2026, 1:18:46 AM54 trades$86,3334 min
7/29/2026, 4:48:54 PM82 trades$78,67732 min
7/29/2026, 1:05:09 PM139 trades$70,40151 min
6/20/2026, 2:45:31 PM115 trades$63,83862 min
6/1/2026, 5:01:34 PM2 trades$59,8800 min
7/29/2026, 3:46:08 PM124 trades$59,84835 min
6/14/2026, 11:55:43 PM15 trades$59,0420 min
5/31/2026, 3:32:53 PM78 trades$56,59023 min
6/27/2026, 8:41:40 PM38 trades$52,17530 min
6/7/2026, 8:18:18 PM58 trades$50,27913 min
6/11/2026, 6:11:16 PM46 trades$47,52020 min
7/29/2026, 2:05:57 PM103 trades$47,03939 min
6/7/2026, 7:29:58 PM2 trades$43,3980 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-15
05-31
06-12
06-21
06-29
07-08
07-20

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 5 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
22% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 57.39/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L8.6 / M16.8 / H74.6