@MiaoAlpha

#157,24548

0x5231bce44b83d75d238468c0284eb3b06d40ca59

~18d· 32 markets · 239 tradesVol: $10,8052026-08-04 22:47:30
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

48
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

60% (3/5)15/20
4.21x (win $253 / loss $60)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0000/15
Sortino 0.0000/10
$+0.0482 per $1 invested2.4/10
HHI 3155 (5 markets)0/10
3/5 profitable days (60%)7.5/10
Max DD 31% of peak ($60 / $193)7.8/10

Badges

3
Sniper
Win rate 60%
Profitable
PnL $+254
DCA Master
Avg 10.2 entries/market

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#68,257$89Vol: $4,920
💰 FINANCE#597,779$-21Vol: $2,898
📈 ECONOMICS#15,068$71Vol: $1,902
🎭 CULTURE#20,674$101Vol: $599
CRYPTO#189,417$18Vol: $331
💻 TECH#213,601$-4Vol: $155

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$254
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$10,805
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
32
total markets
Trades
95B / 144S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~18d

Periods

#2
Today
$19
Vol: $393
Week
$-7
Vol: $4,477
Month
$105
Vol: $4,977
All Time
$254
Vol: $10,805

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
50%
2W / 2L events
Realized PnL
$254
Win Rate
50%
2W / 2L
Profit Factor
4.21x
Avg Win
$84
Avg Loss
$-60

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $253 (0.9965292841648589% of PnL)

Top Winners

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$168
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$31

Top Losers

Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$-60

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.458
Sortino
inf
HHI
269
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.167
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
13.3%
Top-5 markets
28.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
5.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.4h
between trades
Night Trading
60%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.19
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.7

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 296s — normal for humanCV 1.19 — diverse sizes (human-like)60% night trades — never sleeps20/24 hours — extended activity6 trades/day — normal0.8 markets/day — normal40% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 3:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
10.2
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)25.3%
Mid (20-55c)13.7%
High (>55c)61.1%

Sessions

#12
6/25/2026, 1:41:20 AM19 trades$1,63516 min
8/2/2026, 3:12:48 AM41 trades$9178 min
8/3/2026, 11:29:00 PM10 trades$6376 min
6/28/2026, 10:12:20 AM6 trades$5553 min
7/5/2026, 2:41:20 AM12 trades$5069 min
6/28/2026, 4:44:25 PM10 trades$4694 min
7/8/2026, 11:09:47 AM4 trades$4400 min
7/25/2026, 11:20:12 AM4 trades$2893 min
7/22/2026, 2:30:48 AM5 trades$2740 min
7/17/2026, 9:31:07 AM2 trades$1720 min
8/3/2026, 2:18:15 AM12 trades$1687 min
7/1/2026, 3:13:13 PM3 trades$1640 min
8/3/2026, 1:18:08 PM7 trades$1621 min
6/28/2026, 1:34:47 PM5 trades$1510 min
8/3/2026, 12:04:57 PM1 trades$1490 min
7/1/2026, 12:04:13 PM2 trades$1360 min
8/2/2026, 12:50:44 AM29 trades$1249 min
7/2/2026, 4:29:47 PM2 trades$920 min
7/25/2026, 2:04:03 PM3 trades$900 min
7/25/2026, 2:32:07 PM2 trades$900 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-25
06-28
07-01
07-14
07-25

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
60.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 10.2/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L25.3 / M13.7 / H61.1