@Blind Chicken
120x542aae10712e812bd71d792861ec5a570aa8a81b
~724d· 860 markets · 17994 trades2026-08-02 05:12:21
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
12
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
24% (203/839)0/20
0.99x (win $119,667 / loss $120,418)2.4/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.0200/15
Sortino -0.0520/10
$-0.0023 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 259 (839 markets)10/10
103/390 profitable days (26%)0/10
Max DD 173% of peak ($24,762 / $14,290)0/10
Badges
3Lottery Player
90% entries < $0.20
Whale
$326,089 invested
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-24,222
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$326,089
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
860
total markets
Trades
13273B / 4721S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~724d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
24%
203W / 636L events
Realized PnL
$-24,222
Win Rate
24%
203W / 636L
Profit Factor
0.99x
Avg Win
$589
Avg Loss
$-191
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $49,132 (2.0284402707661413% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will the DHS shutdown end between April 29-30, 2026?$20,071
Will there be a US Government shutdown? $18,060
Elise Stefanik confirmed as UN ambassador?$11,001
Will Tim Walz be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?$7,851
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?$6,789
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?$5,853
Government shutdown on Saturday?$5,403
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$5,088
US government shutdown by Mar 9?$3,675
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$3,290
Top Losers
Will Brad Lander win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?$-4,030
Hamas still in power in Gaza by Oct 31?$-3,352
Will Biden pardon Trump?$-2,630
Will Marco Rubio win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?$-2,561
Congress pay raise removed from funding bill by Friday?$-2,241
Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce get married by June 30?$-2,171
Will Taylor Swift get married in Manhattan?$-2,111
Ethereum ETF approved by May 31?$-2,027
Election certified on January 6?$-1,906
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?$-1,890
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.001
Sortino
-0.003
HHI
108
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.003
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.9%
Top-5 markets
16.3%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
13.7
Active
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
54.3m
between trades
Night Trading
30%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.75
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
26.5
Bot Detection
#635
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 138s — normal for humanCV 4.75 — diverse sizes (human-like)30% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock14 trades/day — very active0.7 markets/day — normal59% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 3:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
20.12
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)90.3%
Mid (20-55c)6.8%
High (>55c)2.8%
Sessions
#125/12/2026, 12:03:02 PM63 trades$86,2525 min
6/8/2026, 1:58:21 AM7 trades$48,2490 min
6/7/2026, 8:12:19 PM19 trades$40,6564 min
7/4/2026, 2:48:56 AM176 trades$28,81610 min
6/23/2026, 11:03:25 AM23 trades$16,1515 min
12/20/2024, 8:04:36 PM2 trades$13,4561 min
5/16/2026, 8:03:12 PM47 trades$12,2351 min
5/3/2026, 4:07:56 AM69 trades$11,8667 min
4/29/2026, 3:40:10 AM56 trades$11,0147 min
7/2/2026, 11:19:49 PM38 trades$10,7907 min
7/17/2026, 1:33:01 PM37 trades$10,1052 min
5/16/2026, 3:26:02 AM89 trades$9,9901 min
2/13/2026, 11:17:01 AM11 trades$9,0754 min
4/30/2026, 5:30:36 PM13 trades$8,7520 min
6/24/2026, 6:07:34 PM31 trades$6,8701 min
3/27/2025, 6:44:08 PM9 trades$6,63816 min
5/18/2026, 7:48:41 AM43 trades$6,3166 min
6/5/2025, 5:21:08 AM1 trades$6,1600 min
12/21/2024, 7:13:44 AM3 trades$5,7602 min
6/22/2026, 10:37:29 PM23 trades$5,4301 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-23
10-08
02-21
07-29
10-22
06-22
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 607 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
26.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 20.12/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L90.3 / M6.8 / H2.8