@thevotwddweller

#25,38034

0x543672da57a53631e28cd4c22e59b071cacce25d

~50d· 39 markets · 595 tradesVol: $333,5382026-09-05 17:39:11
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

34
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

69% (25/36)19.7/20
0.78x (win $7,741 / loss $9,958)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.1300/15
Sortino -1.2310/10
$-0.0168 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1580 (36 markets)4.6/10
19/27 profitable days (70%)10/10
Max DD 144% of peak ($7,855 / $5,454)0/10

Badges

6
Sniper
Win rate 69%
Profitable
PnL $+4,924
DCA Master
Avg 19.1 entries/market
Whale
$132,239 invested
Consistent
19/27 profitable days
Win Streak
10 wins in a row

Categories

1
🏛️ POLITICS#6,273$5,161Vol: $333,538

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$5,161
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$333,538
Total Redeem
$10,106
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
39
total markets
Trades
336B / 259S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~50d

Periods

#2
Week
$19
Vol: $3,384
Month
$6
Vol: $2,019
All Time
$5,161
Vol: $333,538

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
69%
25W / 11L events
Realized PnL
$4,924
Win Rate
69%
25W / 11L
Profit Factor
0.78x
Avg Win
$310
Avg Loss
$-996

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $4,348 (0.8830522897453447% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?$2,092
US forces enter Iran by March 31?$1,446
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?$810
Will Witkoff meet with Iranian officials by February 28?$603
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$561
US x Iran meeting by February 28, 2026?$519
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?$280
Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?$258
Will a Gulf State carry out military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?$249
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?$185

Top Losers

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$-6,273
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?$-1,936
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$-626
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?$-486
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?$-326
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 15?$-176
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$-102
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?$-22
Will Turkey strike Iran by March 31?$-10
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.058
Sortino
-0.038
HHI
2042
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.013
Kelly %
28.5%
Half-Kelly
14.3%
Top-1 market
40.7%
Top-5 markets
69.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.9h
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.34
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.1

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 388s — normal for humanCV 2.34 — diverse sizes (human-like)3% night trades — normal pattern20/24 hours — extended activity3 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal42% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
19.11
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)16.7%
Mid (20-55c)11%
High (>55c)72.3%

Sessions

#12
3/31/2026, 10:33:51 PM18 trades$17,1640 min
4/1/2026, 5:12:07 AM13 trades$15,9841 min
4/1/2026, 9:41:09 AM10 trades$14,3480 min
4/3/2026, 6:31:07 PM4 trades$11,4650 min
4/5/2026, 1:38:17 PM7 trades$10,7660 min
4/6/2026, 7:23:53 PM9 trades$10,7310 min
3/27/2026, 7:49:29 AM2 trades$8,0681 min
4/6/2026, 6:15:23 PM8 trades$7,0090 min
4/9/2026, 6:55:03 AM50 trades$6,28314 min
4/14/2026, 10:47:54 PM12 trades$6,1081 min
4/5/2026, 9:00:21 PM2 trades$6,0000 min
4/3/2026, 8:06:09 PM11 trades$5,8790 min
4/7/2026, 9:01:37 PM9 trades$4,3990 min
3/16/2026, 9:04:53 PM1 trades$4,3040 min
3/13/2026, 12:26:11 PM1 trades$4,2610 min
2/27/2026, 9:22:59 PM2 trades$4,0944 min
3/25/2026, 5:58:49 PM1 trades$3,9150 min
3/18/2026, 3:23:15 PM1 trades$3,7670 min
3/25/2026, 2:35:55 PM1 trades$3,5580 min
4/12/2026, 1:20:03 PM14 trades$3,2920 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-03
02-12
02-21
02-26
03-13
03-31
04-12

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 9 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
43.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 19.11/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L16.7 / M11 / H72.3