@0x54498e4c40b17261479aeaeeddf9cc37bd46992b

#25,95076

0x54498e4c40b17261479aeaeeddf9cc37bd46992b

~160d· 3411 markets · 137651 tradesVol: $1,260,5472026-08-02 05:20:50
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

76
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

52% (1567/3036)10.8/20
1.73x (win $47,802 / loss $27,607)11.6/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.08615/15
Sortino 6.87110/10
$+0.0844 per $1 invested4.2/10
HHI 304 (3036 markets)10/10
73/157 profitable days (46%)4.1/10
Max DD 14% of peak ($3,086 / $22,163)10/10

Badges

6
Profitable
PnL $+4,854
DCA Master
Avg 38.1 entries/market
Whale
$239,399 invested
Cool Head
Max DD 14%
Win Streak
12 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#4,952$7,141Vol: $665,749
CRYPTO#14,839$3,035Vol: $258,985
SPORTS#1,858,183$-2,427Vol: $162,908
🌤️ WEATHER#294,711$-491Vol: $40,120
💰 FINANCE#27,379$45Vol: $35,788
📢 MENTIONS#175,821$-2,103Vol: $31,755
📈 ECONOMICS#674,588$-486Vol: $30,560
🎭 CULTURE#790,283$-158Vol: $26,434
💻 TECH#8,532$50Vol: $2,985

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$4,854
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,260,547
Total Redeem
$5,412
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
3411
total markets
Trades
77335B / 60316S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~160d

Periods

#2
Today
$464
Vol: $747
Week
$101
Vol: $747
Month
$644
Vol: $6,016
All Time
$4,854
Vol: $1,260,547

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
52%
1567W / 1468L events
Realized PnL
$4,854
Win Rate
52%
1567W / 1468L
Profit Factor
1.73x
Avg Win
$31
Avg Loss
$-22

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $20,950 (4.31593823714218% of PnL)

Top Winners

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$9,639
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$6,022
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$5,289
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$2,617
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?$2,190
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$2,006
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1,102
Saint Louis Billikens vs. Georgia Bulldogs$990
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$843
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$826

Top Losers

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$-2,538
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?$-2,145
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$-1,861
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-1,118
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$-1,072
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?$-944
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?$-795
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-716
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$-571
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30?$-466

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.109
Sortino
0.299
HHI
96
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.098
Kelly %
14.6%
Half-Kelly
7.3%
Top-1 market
4.3%
Top-5 markets
15.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
280.9
Very active
Markets / Day
7.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
42s
between trades
Avg Gap
3.2m
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
11.06
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
40 min
Avg Trades / Session
170.5

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 42s — normal for humanCV 11.06 — diverse sizes (human-like)21% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock281 trades/day — automation7.0 markets/day — normal40% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
38.13
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)12.6%
Mid (20-55c)20%
High (>55c)67.4%

Sessions

#12
7/7/2026, 8:01:52 PM43 trades$25,18210 min
6/3/2026, 9:20:39 PM254 trades$14,56158 min
6/19/2026, 8:28:47 AM58 trades$11,80721 min
5/9/2026, 6:18:25 PM104 trades$11,70048 min
6/3/2026, 10:26:06 PM220 trades$11,41658 min
6/3/2026, 3:49:18 AM62 trades$8,52520 min
6/7/2026, 7:47:30 PM292 trades$8,36173 min
5/6/2026, 12:36:38 AM90 trades$7,84318 min
6/29/2026, 11:40:19 PM46 trades$7,3208 min
6/3/2026, 1:01:29 PM142 trades$7,04853 min
6/20/2026, 8:17:35 AM60 trades$6,78724 min
6/2/2026, 2:01:04 AM102 trades$6,7097 min
6/1/2026, 4:57:50 PM46 trades$6,44610 min
6/15/2026, 3:22:48 PM158 trades$6,28062 min
6/14/2026, 8:46:46 PM1368 trades$5,868144 min
5/9/2026, 10:01:36 PM216 trades$5,68585 min
5/4/2026, 11:50:54 AM2 trades$5,0840 min
6/17/2026, 5:17:16 PM547 trades$5,03082 min
6/3/2026, 11:59:42 PM134 trades$4,72718 min
5/17/2026, 7:48:59 AM36 trades$4,30513 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-25
03-23
04-19
05-15
06-10
07-06
08-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 14 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
43.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 38.13/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L12.6 / M20 / H67.4