WEN-ALPHA

@WEN-ALPHA

#7,38453

0x54648f78e5f096f39368f5b1730e65c0f062af99

~185d· 192 markets · 2179 tradesVol: $850,576 @nanamegg2026-09-09 00:02:03
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

53
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

48% (83/172)9.1/20
1.15x (win $63,333 / loss $54,898)4.4/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.66612.5/15
Sortino 0.9429.4/10
$+0.0513 per $1 invested2.6/10
HHI 199 (172 markets)10/10
52/106 profitable days (49%)4.8/10
Max DD 99% of peak ($20,680 / $20,933)0/10

Badges

6
Profitable
PnL $+23,800
Contrarian
66% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 13.5 entries/market
Whale
$164,418 invested
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#3,052$13,398Vol: $437,575
CRYPTO#26,701$1,319Vol: $278,213
🎭 CULTURE#4,308$1,308Vol: $45,081
💻 TECH#6,930$85Vol: $42,511
💰 FINANCE#7,474$465Vol: $22,390
📈 ECONOMICS#825$6,897Vol: $12,025
SPORTS#1,854,047$-1,097Vol: $11,975

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$22,389
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$850,576
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
192
total markets
Trades
1318B / 861S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~185d

Periods

#2
Today
$-942
Vol: $11,108
Week
$-689
Vol: $13,908
Month
$-400
Vol: $31,652
All Time
$22,389
Vol: $850,576

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
48%
82W / 89L events
Realized PnL
$23,800
Win Rate
48%
82W / 89L
Profit Factor
1.15x
Avg Win
$763
Avg Loss
$-638

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $18,595 (0.7812883011545863% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 3, 2026?$7,943
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?$6,297
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?$4,355
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?$3,810
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$2,937
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?$2,902
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?$2,809
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?$2,807
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?$2,392
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$2,156

Top Losers

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-8,917
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?$-5,264
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?$-4,942
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$-4,813
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-2,358
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$-2,164
Internet Access restored in Iran by June 30, 2026?$-1,520
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$-1,489
Will Opinion launch a token by February 17, 2026?$-1,384
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$-1,288

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.035
Sortino
0.038
HHI
261
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.047
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.9%
Top-5 markets
26.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.8h
between trades
Night Trading
19%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.72
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.7

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 251s — normal for humanCV 2.72 — diverse sizes (human-like)19% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal69% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 5:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
13.54
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)14.9%
Mid (20-55c)50.6%
High (>55c)34.4%

Sessions

#12
7/2/2026, 9:58:11 PM5 trades$8,4220 min
7/1/2026, 8:35:41 AM1 trades$7,1150 min
12/1/2025, 12:08:20 AM5 trades$4,7137 min
7/30/2026, 10:04:29 PM21 trades$4,4641 min
6/11/2026, 10:44:00 PM9 trades$4,2241 min
3/6/2026, 4:58:53 AM2 trades$4,1472 min
6/29/2026, 12:36:25 PM20 trades$4,0230 min
6/12/2026, 10:23:42 AM19 trades$3,8930 min
4/28/2026, 12:58:40 PM2 trades$3,8463 min
8/1/2026, 10:04:17 PM7 trades$3,6061 min
8/11/2026, 2:01:37 PM8 trades$3,4990 min
4/25/2026, 3:51:26 PM41 trades$3,4104 min
12/10/2025, 7:02:36 PM2 trades$3,0341 min
7/28/2026, 10:27:07 PM9 trades$2,9322 min
2/10/2026, 11:08:55 PM4 trades$2,6842 min
7/1/2026, 11:14:17 AM10 trades$2,6700 min
4/8/2026, 5:05:07 AM17 trades$2,6581 min
4/7/2026, 2:07:01 PM13 trades$2,4405 min
7/19/2026, 3:03:52 PM3 trades$2,4390 min
4/5/2026, 3:02:43 AM2 trades$2,2940 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-07
01-05
02-15
03-17
04-19
06-09
07-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 19 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
39.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 13.54/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L14.9 / M50.6 / H34.4