@0x561b…7938

10

0x561b8e0c885ef44bb311196db3262114b69a7938

~28d· 128 markets · 200 trades2026-08-26 09:16:25
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

24% (27/114)0/20
0.89x (win $395 / loss $446)1.1/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.3830/15
Sortino -2.2500/10
$-0.0726 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 688 (114 markets)9.1/10
6/23 profitable days (26%)0/10
Max DD 199% of peak ($194 / $97)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
54% entries < $0.20

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-53
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$703
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
128
total markets
Trades
157B / 43S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~28d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
24%
27W / 87L events
Realized PnL
$-53
Win Rate
24%
27W / 87L
Profit Factor
0.89x
Avg Win
$15
Avg Loss
$-5

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $266 (5.06016755521706% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Miami Florida make the College Football Playoff?$155
Will Notre Dame make the College Football Playoff?$65
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?$46
Will Jeremiyah Love win the Heisman Trophy?$26
Miami vs. Texas A&M$14
Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?$13
49ers vs. Eagles$11
Will Trey Hendrickson play for Baltimore Ravens in 2026-27?$7
Packers vs. Bears$6
Ole Miss vs. Oklahoma$6

Top Losers

Will Miami Florida win the 2026 College Football National Championship?$-49
College Football: Undefeated 15-0 team?$-47
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$-40
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.8T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$-20
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$-20
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)$-10
Will Paddy Pimblett win by KO or TKO?$-10
Will Texas A&M win the 2026 College Football National Championship?$-10
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $STAR?$-6
Will Spencer Fano be the third pick in the 2026 NFL draft?$-6

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.071
Sortino
-0.146
HHI
222
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.086
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.4%
Top-5 markets
28.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
55.2m
between trades
Night Trading
17%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.44
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.8

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 108s — normal for humanCV 1.44 — diverse sizes (human-like)16% night trades — unusual hours17/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal15% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.42
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)54.1%
Mid (20-55c)40.8%
High (>55c)5.1%

Sessions

#12
8/20/2026, 7:04:27 PM20 trades$3981 min
6/19/2026, 6:23:46 AM7 trades$1561 min
4/23/2026, 10:56:38 PM8 trades$1040 min
4/13/2026, 11:26:51 PM2 trades$1000 min
6/19/2026, 6:09:22 AM13 trades$1006 min
12/17/2025, 10:36:49 PM15 trades$5819 min
1/10/2026, 5:02:38 AM1 trades$500 min
12/7/2025, 6:18:15 AM5 trades$378 min
11/18/2025, 5:29:57 AM1 trades$360 min
12/7/2025, 6:31:41 AM2 trades$301 min
11/25/2025, 10:00:17 PM13 trades$3010 min
12/1/2025, 7:59:38 PM7 trades$293 min
10/31/2025, 4:32:49 AM8 trades$2811 min
7/5/2026, 9:05:26 PM2 trades$280 min
12/3/2025, 7:25:53 PM1 trades$250 min
11/12/2025, 9:09:58 PM9 trades$2114 min
1/4/2026, 9:27:23 PM4 trades$201 min
1/16/2026, 7:04:10 AM8 trades$209 min
1/17/2026, 1:20:40 AM1 trades$200 min
4/13/2026, 11:36:47 PM2 trades$200 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-25
10-31
11-12
12-02
12-17
01-10
03-11
06-19

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 194 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
21.5% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.42/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L54.1 / M40.8 / H5.1