@Joemove

#2,910,56910

0x563676543b58e5a09731fa10642cc86c1846adf8

~32d· 94 markets · 209 tradesVol: $245,4932026-09-20 03:35:34
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

10
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

19% (16/86)0/20
0.37x (win $221 / loss $596)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.4250/15
Sortino -5.4920/10
$-0.4536 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 589 (86 markets)9.6/10
6/27 profitable days (22%)0/10
Max DD 2880% of peak ($389 / $14)0/10

Badges

2
Lottery Player
85% entries < $0.20
Win Streak
5 wins in a row

Categories

4
₿ CRYPTO#1,615,190$-330Vol: $243,749
🏛️ POLITICS#1,559,536$-135Vol: $1,640
⚽ SPORTS#1,070,530$-2Vol: $67
🎭 CULTURE#699,011$-10Vol: $37

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-477
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$245,493
Total Redeem
$6
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
94
total markets
Trades
143B / 66S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~32d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-2
Vol: $0
Month
$-8
Vol: $95
All Time
$-477
Vol: $245,493

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
19%
16W / 70L events
Realized PnL
$-467
Win Rate
19%
16W / 70L
Profit Factor
0.37x
Avg Win
$14
Avg Loss
$-9

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $148 (0.3164866255144033% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January?$61
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in February?$48
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 June 1-7?$38
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?$21
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$14
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 2?$13
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?$11
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$5
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on March 2?$4
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 8, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET$2

Top Losers

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 8?$-190
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?$-101
Will XRP dip to $0.80 in June?$-69
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?$-23
Will Trump visit China by May 15?$-20
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 1-7?$-12
Xi Jinping out in 2025?$-11
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 16?$-10
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$-10
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?$-10

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.279
Sortino
-0.272
HHI
759
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.541
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
23%
Top-5 markets
45.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
48s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.8h
between trades
Night Trading
56%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.91
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.1

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 48s — normal for humanCV 2.91 — diverse sizes (human-like)56% night trades — never sleeps20/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal37% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 2:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.44
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)84.6%
Mid (20-55c)11.9%
High (>55c)3.5%

Sessions

#12
6/4/2026, 5:27:30 AM22 trades$6198 min
5/4/2026, 3:22:34 AM10 trades$3873 min
6/7/2026, 7:03:10 AM6 trades$2444 min
2/8/2026, 2:01:09 AM27 trades$16017 min
4/21/2026, 1:48:18 PM5 trades$1270 min
2/9/2026, 11:21:01 AM4 trades$1261 min
9/20/2025, 10:09:54 AM1 trades$1180 min
7/21/2026, 3:01:19 AM10 trades$1113 min
9/2/2026, 12:37:48 PM10 trades$755 min
1/31/2026, 5:17:24 PM1 trades$710 min
8/24/2026, 4:53:51 AM7 trades$581 min
2/6/2026, 12:00:51 AM1 trades$540 min
4/14/2026, 5:18:57 AM4 trades$521 min
1/11/2026, 7:36:52 AM5 trades$505 min
4/17/2026, 4:51:10 AM6 trades$421 min
5/8/2026, 6:01:06 AM2 trades$420 min
4/22/2026, 5:47:32 AM2 trades$410 min
2/8/2026, 2:23:35 AM16 trades$318 min
1/31/2026, 2:30:40 PM3 trades$301 min
9/16/2025, 10:45:00 AM3 trades$283 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-16
02-01
02-08
03-02
04-14
05-01
06-07

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 165 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
31.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.44/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L84.6 / M11.9 / H3.5