@guge22

#2,631,43725

0x565696f11e34c119f06d840aedd8253245aedc08

~68d· 155 markets · 469 tradesVol: $37,1452026-08-06 16:43:55
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

25
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

49% (64/130)9.6/20
0.82x (win $229 / loss $279)0.3/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.1190/15
Sortino -1.2260/10
$-0.0035 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1342 (130 markets)5.8/10
35/53 profitable days (66%)9/10
Max DD 188% of peak ($125 / $66)0/10

Badges

4
Lottery Player
35% entries < $0.20
Consistent
35/53 profitable days
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🎭 CULTURE#747,466$-33Vol: $9,766
⚽ SPORTS#1,326,103$-9Vol: $8,449
🏛️ POLITICS#1,451,455$-42Vol: $7,908
💰 FINANCE#608,402$-31Vol: $4,424
💻 TECH#240,670$-31Vol: $1,721
📢 MENTIONS#151,583$-34Vol: $1,695
₿ CRYPTO#141,967$39Vol: $1,275
🌤️ WEATHER#215,291$-3Vol: $902
📈 ECONOMICS#34,077$15Vol: $586

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-133
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$37,145
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
155
total markets
Trades
323B / 146S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~68d

Periods

#2
Today
$-7
Vol: $792
Week
$-47
Vol: $3,484
Month
$-63
Vol: $4,477
All Time
$-133
Vol: $37,145

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
49%
64W / 66L events
Realized PnL
$-133
Win Rate
49%
64W / 66L
Profit Factor
0.82x
Avg Win
$4
Avg Loss
$-4

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $67 (0.49883851629823905% of PnL)

Top Winners

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$27
Will Bert Mizusawa be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia?$22
Solana above $215 on January 24?$18
Will Hilton (HLT) beat quarterly earnings?$11
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of December 2025?$11
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by July 31, 2026?$10
Will Ethereum dip to $2,750 by January 31?$10
Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?$9
Will Trump talk to Elon Musk in December?$8
Will Jamie Hill be the MI-02 Democratic nominee?$7

Top Losers

Will Qualcomm (QCOM) beat quarterly earnings?$-99
Will Trump say "Ay Ay Ay" in June?$-21
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?$-18
Will Claude 5 be released by March 31, 2026?$-17
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?$-14
Will One Battle After Another win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?$-14
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?$-14
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?$-13
DeepSeek V4 released by April 15?$-8
Will Ty Masterson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Republican primary election?$-7

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.058
Sortino
-0.039
HHI
1007
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.004
Kelly %
26.8%
Half-Kelly
13.4%
Top-1 market
21%
Top-5 markets
66.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
32.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.9h
between trades
Night Trading
26%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.60
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.6

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1953s — normal for humanCV 5.60 — diverse sizes (human-like)26% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal67% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.83
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)35%
Mid (20-55c)1.5%
High (>55c)63.5%

Sessions

#12
1/17/2025, 11:18:36 AM4 trades$7,2876 min
4/1/2025, 1:35:51 PM3 trades$5,0407 min
1/17/2025, 10:24:10 AM2 trades$3,7591 min
4/1/2025, 1:27:59 PM2 trades$3,1013 min
7/24/2026, 1:13:57 AM4 trades$1401 min
7/28/2026, 10:34:35 AM4 trades$1300 min
7/25/2026, 3:08:04 AM6 trades$1130 min
7/25/2026, 12:09:57 PM4 trades$1124 min
11/28/2025, 4:16:35 PM3 trades$1071 min
10/18/2025, 9:19:59 AM3 trades$1071 min
9/27/2025, 5:25:42 AM2 trades$1060 min
8/5/2025, 5:06:22 AM1 trades$1060 min
7/16/2025, 2:19:42 PM1 trades$1050 min
6/7/2025, 1:12:46 AM1 trades$1040 min
5/25/2025, 7:01:06 AM1 trades$1030 min
4/25/2025, 4:08:24 AM1 trades$1020 min
8/5/2026, 4:58:12 AM2 trades$990 min
7/27/2026, 8:18:39 AM6 trades$975 min
6/22/2026, 3:46:19 PM4 trades$972 min
3/26/2025, 2:32:42 PM1 trades$930 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-17
04-25
12-11
02-09
04-14
07-24
08-01

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 148 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
2% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
31.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.83/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L35 / M1.5 / H63.5