@0xtalkinarb

#2,963,12115

0x565b274c46c01c3c050383929dfe0fa17f7ff1b8

~54d· 429 markets · 2880 tradesVol: $57,5782026-08-26 09:14:49
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

15
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

37% (160/429)3.6/20
0.75x (win $4,082 / loss $5,408)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.5450/15
Sortino -5.0790/10
$-0.1967 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 64 (429 markets)10/10
20/54 profitable days (37%)1.8/10
Max DD 729% of peak ($1,593 / $219)0/10

Badges

3
Contrarian
69% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

2
₿ CRYPTO#1,645,356$-1,064Vol: $57,362
⚽ SPORTS#159,105$56Vol: $216

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,008
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$57,578
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
429
total markets
Trades
1083B / 1797S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~54d

Periods

#2
Today
$-3
Vol: $16
Week
$-54
Vol: $447
Month
$-147
Vol: $3,904
All Time
$-1,008
Vol: $57,578

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
37%
160W / 269L events
Realized PnL
$-1,007
Win Rate
37%
160W / 269L
Profit Factor
0.75x
Avg Win
$26
Avg Loss
$-21

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $730 (0.7250029805667051% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10PM ET$291
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 21, 2PM ET$263
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8AM ET$175
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$170
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 2AM ET$157
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9AM ET$130
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9AM ET$129
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 9AM ET$106
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10AM ET$100
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4PM ET$83

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 8AM ET$-232
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2PM ET$-155
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4AM ET$-146
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2AM ET$-140
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2PM ET$-130
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8PM ET$-113
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5AM ET$-103
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4AM ET$-95
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2AM ET$-94
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 7PM ET$-82

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.236
Sortino
-0.271
HHI
87
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.193
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4%
Top-5 markets
13.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
33.1
Active
Markets / Day
4.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
10.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
55.5m
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.21
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
18.0

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 635s — normal for humanCV 1.21 — diverse sizes (human-like)21% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock33 trades/day — high frequency4.9 markets/day — normal38% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.74
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)12.9%
Mid (20-55c)56.1%
High (>55c)30.9%

Sessions

#12
6/6/2026, 11:31:13 PM37 trades$3647 min
6/15/2026, 6:23:13 PM109 trades$31310 min
6/15/2026, 5:50:58 PM117 trades$24023 min
6/15/2026, 8:53:54 AM19 trades$2402 min
6/13/2026, 10:24:42 PM9 trades$2160 min
6/20/2026, 12:07:46 PM8 trades$2001 min
6/20/2026, 6:22:35 AM16 trades$1795 min
6/21/2026, 6:05:32 PM19 trades$1634 min
6/15/2026, 6:51:27 PM44 trades$1635 min
6/6/2026, 3:51:43 PM17 trades$1625 min
6/7/2026, 12:54:09 AM10 trades$1560 min
6/19/2026, 12:46:37 AM13 trades$1519 min
6/4/2026, 6:08:46 AM8 trades$1472 min
7/3/2026, 9:54:22 PM21 trades$1330 min
6/4/2026, 8:02:37 AM28 trades$1327 min
6/19/2026, 11:50:25 PM16 trades$1325 min
6/16/2026, 12:35:04 AM23 trades$1311 min
7/8/2026, 1:36:58 PM7 trades$1303 min
6/20/2026, 11:46:07 PM13 trades$1301 min
6/6/2026, 7:40:40 PM11 trades$1252 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-27
06-09
06-18
06-29
07-13
07-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 57 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
62.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.74/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L12.9 / M56.1 / H30.9